2016-NFL-Week 13-Sunday football-Full betting preview

Chiefs at Falcons (-5 ½, 49) – 1:00 PM EST

Kansas City
Record: 8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS, 8-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 20/1

The Chiefs have been outgained in each of their last four games, but Kansas City has found a way to win three of those contests. In last Sunday night’s last-second overtime victory at Denver, the Chiefs mustered less than 300 yards offensively, but improved to 9-3 SU/ATS in their past 12 games away from Arrowhead Stadium. However, Kansas City owns a 2-5 SU/ATS mark in its previous seven games against NFC opponents with one of those wins coming at Carolina in Week 10 by erasing a late 17-0 deficit.

Atlanta
Record: 7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS, 9-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 15/1

The Falcons remain atop the NFC South after cruising past the Cardinals last Sunday, 38-19 as four-point favorites. Atlanta improved to 2-8 ATS as a home favorite since the start of 2015 as the Falcons busted the 30-point mark for the fourth straight home game. Matt Ryan’s touchdown to interception ratio at the Georgia Dome improved to 12/3 following a two-touchdown performance against Arizona. Ryan owns a 2-0 SU/ATS career record against the Chiefs, including a 40-24 victory over Kansas City in the 2012 season opener.

Best Bet: Atlanta -5 ½

Texans at Packers (-6 ½, 45 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Houston
Record: 6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS, 6-5 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 60/1

It’s been a rough road, literally for Houston this season. The Texans have dropped four of five games away from NRG Stadium with the only road victory coming at Jacksonville in Week 10. Houston suffered its first home defeat of the season in last Sunday’s 21-13 setback, the first time this season the Texans have lost two straight games. The Texans have struggled defensively on the highway by giving up at least 27 points in their four road losses, while the OVER cashed three times.

Green Bay
Record: 5-6 SU, 5-5-1 ATS, 6-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 40/1

The Packers put an end to a four-game slide in last Monday’s 27-13 victory at Philadelphia as four-point underdogs. The Green Bay defense fixed its woes for at least one week after giving up 89 points in the previous two losses at Washington and Tennessee. Aaron Rodgers continued to stay hot for the Packers by throwing for 313 yards and two touchdowns, while eclipsing the 300-yard mark for the third straight week. The Packers have compiled a 3-4-1 ATS mark as a favorite this season, but have lost two of their last three at Lambeau Field.

Best Bet: Houston +6 ½

Lions at Saints (-6, 53) – 1:00 PM EST

Detroit
Record: 7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS, 7-4 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 30/1

The Lions keep finding ways to win as Detroit is coming off its seventh victory this season when tied or trailing in the fourth quarter. Detroit edged Minnesota, 16-13 to even its mark inside the NFC North at 2-2, while pulling off the season tiebreaker over the Vikings. Detroit’s defense has been excellent during this three-game winning streak by allowing 48 points, while cashing the UNDER in five straight contests. The Lions went into the Mercedes-Benz Superdome last December and knocked off the Saints, 35-27 as Matthew Stafford threw three touchdown passes in the victory.

New Orleans
Record: 5-6 SU, 8-3 ATS, 6-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 125/1

The Saints are riding a 7-1 ATS stretch the last eight games, punctuated by a 49-21 blowout of the Rams as eight-point favorites. New Orleans has won two of its last three at the Superdome since an 0-2 start at home, but have put together a 1-3 ATS mark as a home favorite. Drew Brees reached the 30-touchdown plateau for the ninth consecutive season as the New Orleans quarterback tossed four touchdowns against Los Angeles. The Saints had won the previous three home meetings with the Lions prior to last season’s eight-point defeat.

Best Bet: Detroit +6

Dolphins at Ravens (-3 ½, 40 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Miami
Record: 7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS, 7-4 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 50/1

After five games, the Dolphins were sitting in the doghouse at 1-4. However, Adam Gase’s team has ripped off six consecutive victories to move into the second Wild Card spot in the AFC. The Dolphins held off the 49ers last Sunday, 31-24, but failed to cover for the first time in six games as 7 ½-point home favorites. Ryan Tannehill is finally getting away from the “game manager” moniker as the Dolphins’ quarterback has tossed nine touchdowns and been intercepted only once during this six-game hot streak. Miami has won its last two road games since starting 0-3 on the highway, but the Dolphins needed late comebacks at San Diego and Los Angeles.

Baltimore
Record: 6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS, 7-3-1 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 40/1

The Ravens have gone through an uneven campaign at 6-5, but that’s good enough to be tied with the Steelers atop the AFC North. Baltimore pulled off the three-game home sweep of divisional foes by holding off Cincinnati last week, 19-14 as the Ravens’ defense limited their three rivals to 14 points or fewer. The Ravens have hit the UNDER in four consecutive games to improve to 7-3-1 to the UNDER this season. Baltimore has owned this series by winning five matchups between 2008 and 2014 before the Dolphins tripped up the Ravens without Joe Flacco last season, 15-13.

Best Bet: Miami +3 ½

Buccaneers at Chargers (-4, 47 ½) – 4:25 PM EST

Tampa Bay
Record: 6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS, 6-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 75/1

For whatever reason, the Buccaneers have played better away from Raymond James Stadium this season. Tampa Bay owns a solid 4-1 SU/ATS road record as the Bucs head to the west coast for the third time this season. The Bucs picked up only their second home victory last Sunday in a 14-5 triumph over the Seahawks as five-point underdogs to improve to 5-1 ATS in their previous six opportunities when receiving points. The defense has been a major reason why Tampa Bay has gotten back into the NFC South race by allowing 32 total points in the last three wins since giving up 43 to Atlanta in Week 9.

San Diego
Record: 5-6 SU, 7-4 ATS, 8-3 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 200/1

The Chargers’ roller-coaster season continued in last Sunday’s 21-13 triumph at Houston as 2 ½-point favorites. San Diego has now alternated wins and losses in each of its past five games, looking for consecutive victories for the first time since knocking off Denver and Atlanta in mid-October. The Chargers have won four straight December home games in the role of a favorite, while posting a 4-1 ATS mark as in December/January action last season.

Best Bet: San Diego -4

Giants at Steelers (-6, 48 ½) – 4:25 PM EST

New York
Record: 8-3 SU, 6-4-1 ATS, 8-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 20/1

The Giants face the Cowboys in a crucial NFC East battle next Sunday night at Met Life Stadium as New York looks to remain two games back in the division. First, New York needs a victory at Pittsburgh as the Giants attempt to pull off the four-game sweep of AFC North opponents. The Giants pulled away from the winless Browns last Sunday, 27-13 to capture their sixth consecutive win as Eli Manning has racked up over 260 yards passing only once during this hot streak.

Pittsburgh
Record: 6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS, 8-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 15/1

The Steelers return home following back-to-back road wins at Cleveland and Indianapolis. Pittsburgh allowed a total of 16 points in those victories, as the Steelers faced a pair of backup quarterbacks in those games. Since beating Washington in the season opener, the Steelers have lost their other two games against NFC East foes, falling to Philadelphia and Dallas, while giving up an average of 34.5 points per game in those defeats. Pittsburgh has cashed the UNDER in six of the last eight games, as the Steelers are going for their first home win since Week 5 against the Jets.

Best Bet: New York +6

December 4, 2016 by : Posted in NFL No Comments

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