2015 NFL Week 14 Monday night football – Giants and Dolphins close week 14

The Giants and Dolphins enter Monday night’s contest at Sun Life Stadium with identical 5-7 records. However, New York has an opportunity to pull into a first-place tie atop the NFC East with Philadelphia and Washington with a victory, while Miami is sitting outside the AFC Wild Card race. The Giants have had plenty of opportunities to run away with the division title, losing five games this season when leading in the fourth quarter.

The most recent meltdown for Tom Coughlin’s squad came in last Sunday’s 23-20 overtime setback to the Jets. The Giants failed to cash as 2 ½-point underdogs, while blowing a 20-10 fourth quarter advantage. Eli Manning hooked up with Odell Beckham, Jr. on a 72-yard touchdown strike late in the second quarter, but the Giants would score only three points in the final 38 minutes of the game. The controversy that arose from this loss was Coughlin going for it on fourth and two at the Jets four-yard line with a 10-point lead instead of taking the three points. Manning was intercepted and the Giants eventually lost their third straight game.

Miami snapped a two-game skid in a 15-13 home triumph over Baltimore last Sunday, but couldn’t cover as 3 ½-point favorites. The Dolphins built a 15-0 cushion in the second quarter thanks to a Devante Parker 38-yard touchdown reception, followed up by a Derrick Shelbyinterception return for a score in the span of 20 seconds. Dan Campbell’s team didn’t put up a single point in the second half, as the Dolphins managed the win in spite of Ryan Tannehillthrowing for only 86 yards. The Dolphins have been outgained from a yardage standpoint for the sixth straight game, while winning only their second home contest in five tries this season.

The Giants have not performed well on Monday night football with Manning at quarterback, losing in five of the last six opportunities since 2011. In this span, New York is 0-4 SU/ATS on the road, including a 27-7 blowout loss at Philadelphia back in Week 6. The Dolphins have failed to cover in three Monday night contests with Tannehill under center since 2012, with the only straight-up victory coming last December against the Jets in a 16-13 win as 6 ½-point favorites.

New York is making its first trip to Sun Life Stadium since 1996, as the last time the Dolphins were listed as the home team in this matchup came in 2007 in London. The Dolphins lost that contest, 13-10 as 10-point underdogs at Wembley Stadium, while losing another three-point decision at Met Life Stadium in 2011 by a 20-17 count as 9 ½-point ‘dogs. New York outgained Miami, 402-246 in that home victory, even though the Giants had to erase a 17-10 fourth quarter deficit by scoring the final 10 points of the game.

New York has taken advantage of turnovers this season, “The Giants have been fortunate with 23 takeaways, tied for the second most in the league sitting with a +9 overall turnover margin, which is third best in the NFL. Those extra chances have helped to make up for a defense that has allowed over 423 yards per game, the second worst average in the NFL with by far the league’s worst passing yards per game allowed average at over 314 yards per game.”

On the flip side, Nelson breaks down the ineptitude of the Dolphins’ offense the last few weeks, “Miami is one of the least productive passing teams in the NFL as well as one of the worst rushing teams with the Dolphins the fourth least productive offensive team in the NFL and the sixth-worst scoring team. After making a coaching change with a 1-3 start, the Dolphins are actually 4-4 since but over the last six games, Miami has scored just 15.5 points per game.”

Underdogs continue to rule Monday night football this season, improving to 11-2-1 ATS after Dallas knocked off Washington last Monday. Four of the last five teams listed in the underdog role have won outright with New England being only the favorite in this span to pick up a victory back in Week 11. The ‘under’ has connected 11 of 14 times in Monday action as the winning team has scored 22 points or less in four of the previous five weeks.

There aren’t many total trends that are favorable each way in this matchup. The Giants are 3-3 to the ‘over’ away from Met Life Stadium, but have cashed the ‘under’ in each of their last two games. Miami has finished ‘under’ the total in four of the past six contests overall, while not scoring more than 15 points in each of its last two home games.

December 15, 2015 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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