2015 NCAAF Bowl – Tuesday football- California at Air Force game preview

The California Golden Bears (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) will meet the Air Force Falcons (8-5 SU, 9-4 ATS) in the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl in Fort Worth, Tex., and each would love to finish their season on a high note after limping to the finish line after hot stretches.

– Cal kicked off its regular season with five consecutive wins, serving notice that they are back to relevance after a few down seasons. They opened with a pair of conference wins over the Washington schools before road setbacks at Utah and UCLA in the middle of October. That was the start of a four-game losing streak which also included a home loss to USC, and a road setback to Oregon. In the grand scheme of things, losses to four bowl teams is not a huge embarrassment, and they were able to rout Oregon State Nov. 14 to stem the tide of losing and become bowl eligible. Another loss at Stanford in ‘The Big Game’ set them to 6-5, but they rallied again in a 48-46 win over Arizona State in the season finale to finish on a high note. However, Cal does enter this game just 1-5 ATS in their past six overall, and they have failed to cover in their past three outings away from Berkeley.

– Air Force started out 3-3 SU/ATS this season, beating the teams they should and losing to teams perceived to be better. No real surprises. Then, beginning Oct. 24 they were on a five-game win and cover tear to set them up for a potential run to the Mountain West Championship Game. However, a shocking straight-up loss as an 11-point favorite at New Mexico Nov. 28, and a 27-24 setback at San Diego State humbled them, and that’s why they’re in Fort Worth rather than playing for bigger prizes. Still, USAFA finished the season 6-1 ATS in their final seven, and they have covered three of their past four away from Colorado Springs.

Cal enters as a touchdown favorite, or 6 1/2 points, depending on your shop. Cal is 0-5 ATS in their past five against teams with a winning record, and they’re 0-4 ATS in their past four neutral-site games and 2-5 ATS in their past seven bowl games. The Bears are also just 4-14 ATS in their past 18 games on grass.

– Air Force steams in 6-1 ATS in their past seven non-conference tilts, and they’re 4-1 ATS in their past five bowl games. They’re also 8-2 ATS in their past 10 against teams with a winning record, and 8-2 ATS in their past 10 on a grass surface.

– The ‘under’ is 7-2 in Cal’s past nine, but the ‘over’ is 7-2 in their past nine neutral-site battles and 6-2 in their past eight bowl games. For USAFA, the ‘under’ is 12-5 in their past 17 non-conference tilts, but 4-0 in their past four overall and 4-0 in their past four against teams with a winning overall record.

 

December 29, 2015 by : Posted in College Football No Comments

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