2015 NFL Week 12 Preview – Giants at Skins and Steelers at Seattle

Week 11 of the 2015 NFL season has the New York Giants at the Washington Redskins at 1 pm and the Pittsburgh Steelers visiting the Seattle Seahawks at 4:30 pm. The Giants and Skins opened even but now New York is anywhere from -2.5 to -3.0. The Steeler – Seahawk contest opened with Seattle favored by 4.0, and that spread has remained stable.

Giants (5-5) at Redskins (4-6)

The first time these two teams met near the start of the season the Giants won 32-21, easily beating the spread. The over/under was 45, which meant the over was good. In this game that mark is 47 points. Being completely upfront here, we like the Giants at -2.5, and the over. Here’s how this game looks.

The Giants have beaten the Skins in their last five meetings. Washington QB Kirk Cousins is pone to tossing picks. His rating is 88.9 and he does complete 68.3% of his passes. He’s thrown 15 TDs and with that 10 INTs. The Redskins have lost three of their last five, and all by double digits. The Skins lack a rushing attack and have a tough time stopping opponents from running. Top receiver Jordan Reed is playing injured.

Giant QB Eli Manning (64.6% COMP, 21 TDs, 6 INTs, 96.9 RAT) continues to play well. The Giant passing attack is solid and WR Odell Beckham Jr. (63 REC, 13.7 AVG, 8 TDs, 9 REC+20) is a highlight reel in motion. On defense, the Giants have snared 14 INTs and have 52 PD. They should give Cousins a very tough time.

New York at 5-5 is on top of the NFC North. Washington at 4-6 is in second. This meeting is a prime opportunity for both teams. NY needs the win badly, as the other two teams in the division, the Eagles (4-6) and Cowboys (3-7), are in striking distance of the division crown. Look for New York to step up and take this one 32-21.

Steelers (6-4) at Seahawks (5-5)

It’s interesting to note that Pittsburgh and Seattle are almost even in both PF and PA. The Hawks are favored in this one, as they have been consistently listed at -4.0. One major question for the Seahawks is can they control QB Ben Roethlisberger (66.8% COMP. 10 TDs, 7 INTs, 97.0 RAT) and his primary outlet, Antonio Brown (79 REC, 14.4 AVG, 5 TDs, 16 REC+20)? The efforts of Seattle defensive linemen Michael Bennett (6.5 sacks) and Cliff Avril (6.5 sacks) will be an important part of the equation.

At the same time, Seattle will have to mitigate the efforts of Pittsburgh’s effective running tandem of Le’Veon Bell and DeAngelo Williams. Together they have posted 8 TDs and 12 runs of +20 yards. We think the Hawks will find that they have their hands full with the Steeler air and ground attack.

For Seattle, one key will be their ability to hold the Steeler pass rush at bay. Pittsburgh comes into the game with 28 sacks and 10 forced fumbles of which they have recovered 9. Seahawk quarterback Russell Wilson (67.5% COMP, 13 TDs, 7 INTs, 96.7 RAT) has been sacked 35 times. He could be hearing footsteps all day.

The Seattle running game is severely hamstrung as Marshawn Lynch is out for a few weeks having undergone surgery and Thomas Rawls has a knee injury that may sideline him. That means a lot of the offense will have to come from Wilson connecting with TE Jimmy Graham (44 REC, 12.0 AVG. 2 TDs. 10 REC+20). Graham may be extra busy, as it looks like another prime receiver, Doug Baldwin (44 REC, 12.3 AVG, 3 TDs, 8 REC+20) will most likely not play.

Just about everyone this week has picked Seattle by about 3 points. Even if that does end up being accurate, the Steelers would beat the spread. But we like Pittsburgh to win this one by quite a bit. Final score 30- 10. We are going with the under.

November 29, 2015 by : Posted in NFL No Comments

Comments are closed.