2015 NFL Preview Week 6: Kansas City Chiefs at Minnesota Vikings

In this Sunday game, the Minnesota Vikings (2-2) host the Kansas City Chiefs (1-4). The Vikings are favored by 3.5 points in this one and the over/under sits at 43.5. This is an interesting game, as Kansas City, which seemed to have so much potential, has been stifled. Its lack of passing defense has been especially problematic. And it has developed some major problems on offense.

Although the Chiefs got off to a good start by beating the Texans 27-20, they have not won since week one. After losing to the Broncos, Packers, and Bengals, all of which are quality teams, the Chicago Bears beat them last week. The 18-17 loss was not only backbreaking, but it gave them a 1-4 record. They are in last place in the AFC West.

The Vikings, who have played four games thus far, getting an early bye-week, are a bit better off. After getting soundly beaten by the 49ers, they won two straight beating the Lions 26-16 and Chargers 31-14. Their last game was a loss to the Denver Broncos in what proved to be a close 23-20 contest. Minnesota is in second in the NFC North.

Kansas City Offense vs. Vikings Defense

Offense is a major problem for the Chiefs. Although they are a passing club, their running game is still very important. Jamal Charles, who is their star back, is out for the season. Charles has scored four TDs. His loss is huge for this club.

The loss of Charles is an especially big deal for QB Alex Smith. The immobile Smith, who has been sacked 21 times thus far, has a rating of 88.1, and has completed only 63% of his passes, needs the running part of the Kansas City attack to be effective in order to keep frontlines honest. Chances are he’ll be feeling a lot of pressure this Sunday from the Viking D. Jeremy Maclin and Travis Kelce are his primary receivers. Between them they have three touchdowns.

The Viking defense is limiting opponents to a little more than 18 PPG. Although they are not the toughest defense in the game, they are effective. They’ve forced three fumbles, recovered four, and have grabbed four INTs. It’s expected that the Chiefs will pass quite a bit on Sunday, and it’s also expected that the Vikings’ FS Harrison Smith (1 INT, 1 FF, 26 Tackles) and company will be ready for them. They will keep Kansas City to under 15 points.

Minnesota Offense vs. Chiefs Defense

The Viking offense is averaging just 20 PPG, but there’s a lot of potential for them to score more in this one due to their top rushing attack. Running back Adrian Peterson is a major offense force. He’s averaging 5.0 YPA and has three TDs. But he’s also fumbled twice, losing one.

QB Teddy Bridgewater has performed in an overall adequate manner. This offense runs in a way where the passing game is used to keep the defense honest; the focus is on the rush. Bridgewater has two TD passes and has tossed two interceptions. He’s also been sacked 13 times. He’ll need to do better than that in this one.

The Kansas City defense has allowed more than 28 PPG. Their rush defense is the best part of their game. This is a defense that includes DE Allen Baily (3.5 Sack, 17 Tackles) and LB Justin Huston (3.0 Sacks, 18 Tackles). These are good players. The Chiefs can make big plays as evidenced by their two forced fumbles and two recoveries. But they can also give up the big play, especially late in the game.

Other Considerations

In field goal kicking for Kansas City, Cairo Santos is just 11 of 14. In long kicking situations, he’s had trouble. Plus, the Chiefs have fumbled seven times thus far, losing four.

For the Vikings, kicker Blair Walsh has also had his troubles, missing two of his six. The team has lost the ball to fumbles twice. Overall, Minnesota is a bit better in both of these areas.

Best Bets

At -3.5, the Vikings are a very good bet, as is the under at 43.5. Don’t expect a lot of points in this one. A 24-10 final with Minnesota on top is very likely. The Chiefs are struggling and having a tough time finding their rhythm on offense. It will be a big day for Minnesota.

October 18, 2015 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

Comments are closed.