2015 NFL Preview – New York Jets at New England Patriots

In week seven of the 2015 NFL saeson, the 5-0 New England Patriots host the 4-1 New York Jets. The Jets have surprised a lot of people by starting off the season with a winning record. The Pats will be a major test for this team. The Jets are in second place in the AFC East while New England sits in first. A win by the Jets will put the two teams in a virtual tie. Needless to say, there’s a lot at stake on Sunday when these two teams meet in Foxborough at Gillette Stadium.

New York Offense vs. Patriot Defense

The Jet offense is averaging a healthy 25.8 PPG. On the ground, they’re cranking out just over 146 yards per game. Running back Chris Ivory, who has been a powerful force notching four touchdowns thus far this season, is listed as probable. Although there’s some depth at running back, the Jets need him to perform well to have a chance in this game.

On the receiving end, WRs Brandon Marshall and Eric Powell have each accumulated 4 TDs with each receiver averaging more than 13 YPC. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, who has only been sacked twice thus far, has tossed 9 TDs and 7 INTs. He’ll need to be careful when throwing the ball against the Pats.The Pats D has allowed an average of 20.6 PPG. They can give up yardage and points, although overall they are quite tenacious. They have been dogging QBs, as the club has compiled 19 sacks. Chandler Jones has 5.5 of those sacks. CB Logan Ryan has two of the team’s six picks. LB Jaime Collins has been especially tough making 37 tackles, getting 3.5 sacks, and notching 3 TFL. If they can pressure Fitzpatrick and force him to make mistakes, it will be a long day for the Jet offense.

New England Offense vs. Jets Defense

The Patriot offense is averaging 36.6 PPG. Julian Endelman (4 TDs) and Rob Gronkowski (5 TDs) are potent receivers and QB Ton Brady’s favorite targets. Add to that the powerful running tandem of LaGarrette Blount and Dion Lewis, both of whom are averaging 5.0 or better per carry, and you’ve got a very dynamic offense. Then when you consider Brady’s numbers, which include 14 TDS, 70.6% COMP, 118.4 QB Rate, and just 1 INTs, you begin to realize exactly what this offense can do.

The New York defense has played well, especially in the turnover department. With 8 INTs and 8 FF and 7 of those forced fumbles recovered, they can make things happen. CB Darrelle Revis leads the club with 3 INTs. LB David Harris has 2 FFs and leads the club in tackles with 38 tackles, including 25 solo stops. Muhammad Wilkerson leads the team in sacks having made four of the team’s eight. They have allowed just 15.0 PPG. That’s an astounding mark. They should be able to keep the Patriot offense corralled for the first half.

Other Considerations

The Jets are good at keeping games close. Their one loss was for seven points. The Pats have blown out two teams, Dallas and Jacksonville with their other two wins by an average of 7.3 points.

New York has a solid pass and rush defense. They will keep the Pats honest. When it comes to kicking Stephen Gostkowski, who is perfect thus far, has been hitting from 40 and 50-plus yards out. Jet kicker Nick Folk has not done as well, going 8 of 11.

Best Bets

The Pats come into this game at -9. We like New England but think the Jets are a good bet at +9. It’s true that the Patriots have a stellar offense, but they will be facing a very tough and opportunistic defense. At the same time, we expect the Jets to keep this game competitive. Place a few units on the Jets at +9 in this 1 pm Sunday game. Also, consider taking the Jets in the first half at +4.5 and, depending on how things are playing out, for the Pats to win the second

October 23, 2015 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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