San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks

The Seattle Seahawks look to stay alive in the playoff race as they host the San Francisco 49ers on Saturday.  The 49ers are -1.5 point favorites over the Seahawks with an over/under point total set at 38.

At this point making the playoffs is a longshot for the Seattle Seahawks as a win by both the Atlanta Falcons and the Detroit Lions in either of those teams final two games would eliminate their chances Pete Carroll’s team doesn’t look close to being ready to quit. The Seahawks have come on strong at the end of the year winning their last three games in a row. Tarvaris Jackson may never be a Pro Bowl caliber QB but he has been serviceable completing 60.7 percent of his passes with 12 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Marshawn Lynch has been running hard and strong rushing for 1,011 yards and 11 touchdowns carrying the bulk of the load for the Seattle ground game. Doug Baldwin was the big surprise at receiver this year leading the Seahawks with 46 catches while Ben Obamanu has 32 catches and Golden Tate has 27. Defensively the Seahawks allow 327 yards and 19.5 points per game and they haven’t allowed more than 14 points in any of their last three games. Earl Thomas has 88 tackles, David Hawthorne has 95, and Chris Clemons has 11 QB sacks. Seattle can look back at their schedule and a few games that got away from them may end up being the difference between them making the playoffs or watching them from home.

The San Francisco 49ers wrapped up the NFC West long ago but still haven’t sewn up a first round bye. The Niners are tied with the Saints for the second best record in the NFC but they hold the edge with the better conference record at this point. Alex Smith has been dependable yet unspectacular but he has gone from a castoff to a playoff starter in one year completing 61.4 percent of his passes with 16 touchdowns against just five interceptions. Frank Gore continues to get it done averaging 4.4 yards per carry for 1,119 yards and seven touchdowns and Kendall Hunter is emerging as a viable option to fill in when Gore takes a breather. Michael Crabtree and Vernon Davis account for the bulk of Smith’s completions with Davis scoring six touchdowns. The San Francisco defense has been outstanding allowing 311.1 yards per game and just 13.2 points, the fewest points in the NFL,  and playing a physical brand of defense that lets the opposition know they are there. NaVorro Bowman has 121 tackles, Patrick Willis has 93 tackles despite being injured and missing action, and Aldon Smith broke the 49ers rookie sack record with 13 thus far. San Francisco doesn’t look spectacular getting it done but they are certainly making the most of what they have.

Seattle is 8-1 against the spread in their last nine games against NFC teams, 4-1 against the spread in their last five against the NFC West, and 7-2 against the spread in their last nine home games. San Francisco is 9-1-1 against the spread in their last 11 against NFC teams, 12-3-1 against the spread in their last 16 games overall, and 8-2-1 against the spread following a win. The home team has covered five in a row in this series.

The total in this one is set at 38 and in a divisional game with two good defensive teams it falls under that number.


Under 38

December 24, 2011 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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