2016-NFL-Week 6-Sunday football-Full betting preview

Bengals at Patriots (-9, 47 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Cincinnati
Record: 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 50/1

The Bengals were wiped out early at Dallas last Sunday in a 28-14 defeat as 2 ½-point road favorites. Cincinnati fell behind, 28-0 before scoring a pair of late touchdowns, as the two victories by the Bengals have come against the Jets and Dolphins, who are a combined 2-8. The offense has been disappointing in Cincinnati, as the Bengals have been held to 17 points or less in their three losses, while scoring just one touchdown against Miami. The Bengals are playing with major revenge after getting blasted at Gillette Stadium as 2 ½-point road favorites in 2014 by a 43-17 count.

New England
Record: 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 4-1 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 7/2

The Patriots were blanked by the Bills in the final game of Tom Brady’s suspension in Week 4. New England rebounded in a huge way in Brady’s debut last Sunday at Cleveland as the three-time Super Bowl champion threw for 406 yards and three touchdowns in a 33-13 rout as 10-point favorites. The Patriots’ defense has been terrific the last three weeks by allowing a total of 29 points and cashing three straight UNDERS. New England has won 26 of its past 28 home games with Brady under center since 2013, as the Patriots own an 18-8-2 ATS mark in this span.

Best Bet: New England -9

Ravens at Giants (-3 ½, 44 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Baltimore
Record: 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 50/1

The Ravens jumped out to a 3-0 record before stumbling at home the last two weeks with losses to the Raiders and Redskins by a combined seven points. Baltimore changed things up from an offensive perspective by firing coordinator Marc Trestman and replacing him with Marty Mornhinweg as the Ravens have scored 19 points or fewer in three games. In last week’s 16-10 setback to Washington, the Ravens found the end zone less than five minutes into the game, but managed only three points in the final 55 minutes. Baltimore is listed as an underdog for the first time this season, as it posted a 5-3 ATS mark when receiving points in 2015.

New York
Record: 2-3 SU, 1-3-1 ATS, 4-1 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 60/1

The Giants squeezed past the Cowboys and Saints in their first two games, but New York hasn’t found the win column recently by dropping three in a row. Granted, New York had to face Minnesota and Green Bay on the road in primetime in the last two weeks, but the Giants put up a combined 26 points in those defeats. The Giants have lost three straight home games to AFC opponents since 2014, including setbacks as an underdog to the Patriots and Jets last season. New York has lost two of the past three meetings with Baltimore since getting routed by the Ravens in Super Bowl XXXV in 2001.

Best Bet: Baltimore +3 ½

Eagles (-3, 44 ½) at Redskins – 1:00 PM EST

Philadelphia
Record: 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 30/1

Rookie Carson Wentz suffered his first NFL loss following a 3-0 start in Philadelphia’s 24-23 defeat at Detroit last Sunday as 3 ½-point favorites. The Eagles erased a 21-7 deficit to take a 23-21 lead in the fourth quarter, but Detroit took control in the final two minutes with the go-ahead field goal. Wentz was intercepted for the first time this season on a desperation toss on Philadelphia’s final possession, as the Eagles play their first divisional opponent on Sunday. Last season, the Eagles were swept by the Redskins, including a 23-20 defeat in D.C. as three-point favorites last October.

Washington
Record: 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 4-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 40/1

The Redskins have rebounded from an 0-2 start to win three consecutive games, including road victories in this span over the Giants and Ravens. Washington has been outrushed in all five games this season, but put together its best defensive effort of 2016 by limiting Baltimore to 306 yards in a 16-10 triumph last Sunday. The Redskins have won seven of its last eight contests since last November when listed in the underdog role with the lone loss coming to Pittsburgh in Week 1 of this season.

Best Bet: Philadelphia -3

Chiefs (-1 ½, 46 ½) at Raiders – 4:05 PM EST

Kansas City
Record: 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 30/1

The Chiefs are fresh off the bye week after getting pounded in Week 4 at Pittsburgh, 43-14 to drop to 0-2 away from Arrowhead Stadium. Each of the last two seasons, Kansas City has returned from the bye to face an AFC West rival on the road and the Chiefs came out victorious each time. In 2015, the Chiefs dominated the Broncos as 3 ½-point underdogs, 29-13, while picking off Denver five times in the rout. Kansas City has seen success recently against Oakland by winning five of the past six matchups, including three consecutive victories at the Coliseum.

Oakland
Record: 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 4-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 16/1

The Raiders continue to roll atop the AFC West after picking up its third straight win last Sunday in a 34-31 triumph over the Chargers. Oakland failed to cover as 3 ½-point favorites, but Derek Carr put up over 300 yards passing for the second time (319), while improving his touchdown to interception ratio to 11/2 on the season. The Raiders dropped to 1-2 ATS as a favorite, but with the money flipping towards the Chiefs, Oakland is now a slight under. In Jack Del Rio’s tenure as head coach, the Raiders have compiled a solid 9-4 ATS mark in the underdog role, but all four losses have come at home.

Best Bet: Oakland +1 ½

Falcons at Seahawks (-6 ½, 44 ½) – 4:25 PM EST

Atlanta
Record: 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 4-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 20/1

Past the undefeated Vikings, the Falcons are the hottest team in the NFC by winning four consecutive games since losing the opener to Tampa Bay. In the past four weeks, Atlanta has been listed as an underdog four times and has won each time, including three times away from the Georgia Dome. Last week, the Falcons dominated the defending Super Bowl champion Broncos, 23-16 as 3 ½-point ‘dogs as Atlanta built a 17-point lead in the fourth quarter. Since the start of last season, the Falcons have put together an incredible 9-2 SU/ATS record in the underdog role, including a 6-2 SU/ATS mark on the highway.

Seattle
Record: 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 7/1

The Seahawks are back from their bye week following back-to-back wins over the 49ers and Jets. Seattle’s three victories have come against teams that have combined for a 3-12 record, as the Seahawks own a 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS record at CenturyLink Field. The defense continues to excel in Seattle, allowing 18 points or less in all four games, but the Seahawks have hit the OVER in five of their previous eight home contests. Seattle has lost four of the past five meetings with Atlanta since 2007, as the Falcons are making their first trip to the Pacific Northwest since a 30-28 victory in 2011.

Best Bet: Seattle -6 ½

Cowboys at Packers (-4 ½, 47 ½) – 4:25 PM EST

Dallas
Record: 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 18/1

Since dropping a one-point decision to the Giants in the season opener, the Cowboys have roared back to pull off four straight wins under rookie quarterback Dak Prescott. The fourth-round pick from Mississippi State has not thrown an interception in five games, while completing 69% of his passes in place of the injured Tony Romo. The Cowboys dominated the Bengals as a short home underdog last week, 28-14, led by another rookie, Ezekiel Elliott. The former Ohio State standout rushed for over 100 yards for the third consecutive game (134), while finding the end zone twice. The UNDER has hit in eight of the past 10 road games for Dallas since the start of last season, including in a 28-7 defeat at Lambeau Field last December.

Green Bay
Record: 3-1 SU, 2-1-1 ATS, 2-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 5/1

The Packers are in the midst of four consecutive games at Lambeau Field, as Green Bay is coming off home victories over Detroit and New York. In last Sunday night’s 23-16 win over the Giants, the Packers’ defense held New York out of the end zone for the first 57 minutes, while limiting New York to 221 yards. Green Bay has won 16 of its past 19 home games since 2014, as the Packers have covered 11 times in this span. The Packers have owned the Cowboys recently by winning five straight meetings since 2009, including four victories in a row at Lambeau Field.

Best Bet: Green Bay -4 ½

October 16, 2016 by : Posted in NFL No Comments

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