2016-NFL-Week 4-Sunday football-Full betting preview

Seahawks (-2 ½, 40) at Jets – 1:00 PM EST

Seattle
Record: 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 12/1

The Seahawks leave the west coast for the first time this season, while seeking consecutive victories for the first time. Seattle blasted San Francisco last Sunday, 37-18 after being held to 15 points in its first two games. Quarterback Russell Wilson left with a sprained left knee, but he is expected to play on Sunday. Seattle has allowed the second-fewest amount of points in the NFL with 37, 10 behind Philadelphia. However, the Seahawks have struggled on the road against AFC foes under Pete Carroll by posting a 3-9 SU and 3-7-2 ATS record since 2010.

New York
Record: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 65/1

The Jets couldn’t get out of their own way last week at Kansas City by turning the ball over eight times, including six interceptions thrown by Ryan Fitzpatrick. Kansas City cruised past New York, 24-3, as Fitzpatrick was picked off twice in the end zone. The Jets still own a solid 4-1 ATS record as an underdog during Todd Bowles’ tenure as head coach, including a home ‘dog victory over the Patriots last December. The Jets are hosting the Seahawks for the first time since 2004, as New York has lost each of the past two meetings to Seattle in 2008 and 2012.

Best Bet: New York +2 ½

Panthers (-3, 50) at Falcons – 1:00 PM EST

Carolina
Record: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 16/1

The defending NFC champions have stumbled out of the gate with losses to the Broncos and Vikings through three games. Carolina managed 10 early points against Minnesota, but were held scoreless in the final three quarters of a 22-10 home defeat as six-point favorites. Quarterback Cam Newton has thrown as many touchdowns as interceptions through three contests (5), as four of the interceptions came in the two defeats. The last time Carolina visited Atlanta in 2015, the Falcons snapped the Panthers’ 14-game winning streak in a 20-13 victory as seven-point underdogs.

Atlanta
Record: 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 3-0 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 60/1

The Falcons have been impressive the last two weeks by putting up a combined 80 points in road victories at Oakland and New Orleans. In Monday’s 45-32 triumph over the Saints, Atlanta’s running game shifted into high-gear with 217 yards on the ground, including three touchdowns from Tevin Coleman and 152 yards from Devonta Freeman. In spite of the win at New Orleans, the Falcons have struggled against division foes under Dan Quinn by compiling a 2-6 SU/ATS record the since the start of 2015. However, the Falcons have thrived in the role of an underdog by putting together a 7-2 ATS mark in nine games when receiving points.

Best Bet: Atlanta +3

Raiders at Ravens (-3 ½, 46 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Oakland
Record: 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 2-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 40/1

The Raiders’ defense has been eaten up through three games, allowing a league-worst 476 yards a contest and an average of 340 yards through the air. Oakland managed to hold Tennessee to 10 points in last Sunday’s 17-10 road victory, while causing three takeaways for its second consecutive 2-1 start. The Silver and Black closed as a short favorite in Week 3, but the Raiders have been terrific in the role of a road underdog in Jack Del Rio’s tenure by posting a 7-0 ATS mark. Oakland looks to beat Baltimore for the second straight season after knocking off the Ravens as six-point home ‘dogs last September, 37-33.

Baltimore
Record: 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS, 2-1 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 30/1

The Ravens weren’t expected to lead the AFC North following three weeks, but Baltimore has picked up three wins over teams that own a combined 1-8 record. John Harbaugh’s squad edged past Jacksonville last week, 19-17 as the Ravens have scored only four touchdowns this season, while kicking nine field goals. Baltimore finished last season at 0-6-2 ATS as a favorite, but have improved in that category this season by covering two of its first three when laying points. The Ravens have stepped up defensively by ranking second in yards allowed (254.3) and third in passing yards given up (168.3).

Best Bet: Baltimore -3 ½

Broncos (-3, 43) at Buccaneers – 4:05 PM EST

Denver
Record: 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS, 3-0 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 12/1

The defending Super Bowl champions haven’t skipped a beat with Trevor Siemian at quarterback, winning each of their first three games. Denver took care of Cincinnati as a short road underdog last Sunday, 29-17 as Siemian threw a career-high four touchdown passes, including a pair of connections with Emmanuel Sanders. Since the start of last season, the Broncos have excelled as an underdog by going 8-0 ATS, but have compiled a 5-7-2 ATS mark as a favorite. Denver is visiting Tampa Bay for the first time since 2004, as the Bucs covered as underdogs in losses in the Mile High City in 2008 and 2012.

Tampa Bay
Record: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 200/1

The Buccaneers shot out of the gate with an impressive road victory over the Falcons as Jameis Winston threw four touchdown passes. However, Tampa Bay has taken a step back the last two weeks by falling to Arizona and Los Angeles, while allowing 77 points in those two defeats. Winston racked up a career-high 405 passing yards against the Rams, but the Bucs dropped to 0-3 in his three career games when putting up at least 300 yards. Since the start of last season, Tampa Bay has compiled a 3-6 ATS record at Raymond James Stadium, while cashing only once in the past five overall in the underdog role.

Best Bet: Tampa Bay +3

Cowboys (-2, 45 ½) at 49ers – 4:25 PM EST

Dallas
Record: 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 2-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 22/1

The Cowboys rebounded from a one-point opening week setback to the Giants to beat the Redskins and Bears the last two games. Rookie quarterback Dak Prescott threw a touchdown pass and ran for another in last Sunday night’s 31-17 blowout of Chicago to pick up their second home cover in the past nine opportunities at AT&T Stadium. The Cowboys are listed as a road favorite for the first time this season after going 1-1 SU/ATS in this situation in 2015. Dallas will be without big-play threat Dez Bryant as the wide receiver is sidelined with a knee injury.

San Francisco
Record: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 400/1

The 49ers return home following consecutive road blowouts at Carolina and Seattle, as San Francisco’s lone victory this season came at home against Los Angeles in a 28-0 shutout. San Francisco’s defense has been sliced up the last two weeks by giving up 73 points to the Panthers and Seahawks, while dropping to 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in their past eight road games. The UNDER has been nearly automatic at Levi’s Stadium since the beginning of 2015, finishing UNDER the total in eight of the previous nine home contests.

Best Bet: San Francisco +2

Rams at Cardinals (-8, 43) – 4:25 PM EST

Los Angeles
Record: 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 2-1 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 100/1

The Rams are surprisingly sitting atop the NFC West through three games alongside the Seahawks at 2-1. Technically, Los Angeles has the early tie-breaker advantage over Seattle thanks to a Week 2 home victory, but the Rams’ offense exploded in a 37-32 triumph at Tampa Bay last Sunday to cash outright as 3 ½-point underdogs. Running back Todd Gurley finally busted out by rushing for 85 yards and two touchdowns, while quarterback Case Keenum threw his first two touchdown passes of the season. The Rams have won and covered four consecutive games in the underdog role since Week 14 of last season, while knocking off the Cardinals as seven-point ‘dogs last October, 24-22 at University of Phoenix Stadium.

Arizona
Record: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 15/1

It’s been a rough start for the defending NFC West champions, who have lost two of their first three games. The only good news from this 1-2 start is both defeats came to New England and Arizona, a pair of AFC foes. Arizona fell behind Buffalo last Sunday, 17-0 and never recovered in a 33-18 setback as five-point road favorites. Carson Palmer was intercepted four times in the loss, as the Cardinals’ quarterback was never picked off more than two times in a game in 2015. Palmer diced up the Rams’ defense last season by throwing for 352 and 356 yards, while Arizona owns a solid 7-1 mark at home off a loss since 2013.

Best Bet: Arizona -8

October 2, 2016 by : Posted in NFL No Comments

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