San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
The San Diego Padres and the Pittsburgh Pirates face off on Monday at Petco Park in game one of their series. The Padres are -115 favorites over the Pirates with an over/under run total set at 7.
The San Diego Padres have played tough this season but in the even tougher NL West it hasn’t been good enough. The Padres are 14-15 at home this season, 5-5 in their last 10 games, and they are in fourth place in the NL West and 11 games behind the Giants. As a team the Padres are hitting .228 with Seth Smith hitting .309, Everth Cabrera hitting .247, and Will Venable hitting .211. The Padres pitching staff has an ERA of 3.25 with the starters at 3.77 and the bullpen at 2.30. For game one against the Pirates the Padres start Tim Stauffer who took the loss in his last start. For the season Stauffer has allowed 25 hits and 12 earned runs while striking out 24 over 24 innings for a 2-1 record a 4.50 ERA.
The Pittsburgh Pirates haven’t had the start to the season they were hoping for but they are far from out of it at this point. The Pirates are 10-17 on the road this season, 6-4 in their last 10 games, and they are 7.5 games back in the NL Central. As a team the Pirates are hitting .249 with Andrew McCutchen hitting .298, Neil Walker hitting .276, and Starling Marte hitting .246. As a team the Pirates pitching staff has an ERA of 3.94 with the starters at 4.55 and the bullpen at 2.86. For game one in San Diego the Pirates start Charlie Morton who has just one win this year. For the season Morton has allowed 62 hits and 25 earned runs while striking out 45 over 68.1 innings for a 1-7 record and a 3.29 ERA.
San Diego is 4-1 as a favorite, 1-4 in game one of a series, and 1-4 in Morton’s last five starts as a road underdog. Pittsburgh is 5-1 against the NL West, 8-16 in their last 24 road games, and 0-4 in Morton’s last four road starts. Pittsburgh is 8-17 in their last 25 games in San Diego.
I am not expecting a ton of scoring so the under looks like a solid play.