Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves
The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Atlanta Braves face off on Friday in Arizona as they start their series. The Braves are -120 favorites over the Diamondbacks.
The Arizona Diamondbacks are trying to salvage their season after a miserable start. The Diamondbacks are 9-22 at home, 6-4 in their last 10 games, and they have won their last three. As a team the D-backs are hitting .256 with A.J. Pollack hitting .316, Paul Goldschmidt hitting .305, and Gerardo Parra hitting .279. As a team the Arizona pitching staff has a 4.47 ERA with the starters at 4.99 and the bullpen at 3.51. For game one against the Braves the Diamondbacks start Brandon McCarthy who hasn’t won since May 3rd. For the season McCarthy has allowed 83 hits and 42 earned runs while striking out 63 over 72.2 innings for a 1-7 record and a 5.20 ERA.
The Atlanta Braves are in first place in the NL East but that lead has shrunk to 1/100th of a percentage point. The Braves are 14-14 on the road this season, 4-6 in their last 10 games, and they have lost their last two games. As a team the Braves are hitting .240 with Justin Upton hitting .294, Freddie Freeman hitting .290, and Andrelton Simmons hitting .259. As a team the Braves pitching staff has an ERA of 2.98 with the starters at 2.92 and the bullpen at 3.15. For game one at Arizona the Braves start Julio Teheran who has won his last three starts. For the season Teheran has allowed 58 hits and 17 earned runs while striking out 66 over 83.2 innings for a 5-3 record and a 1.83 ERA.
Arizona is 6-14 against the NL East, 3-12 as a home underdog, and 1-7 in McCarthy’s last eight home starts. Atlanta is 2-5 as a favorite, 0-7 on the road against a team with a losing record, and 9-2 in Teheran’s last 11 starts. Atlanta is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings of these two.
Arizona has played well recently and the Braves have been inconsistent and while I rarely put too much stock in starting pitching Teheran has enough of an edge here for me to take the Braves.
Atlanta Braves -120 Arizona Diamondbacks