San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
The San Antonio Spurs square off against the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 2 of the Western Conference finals on Wednesday night. The Spurs are -6 point favorites over the Thunder with an over/under point total set at 203.
Head to head, the Thunder are 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings while the home team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the favorite is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Thunder on the other hand are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games.
If Game 1 is anything to go by, then this is going to be a long series for the Oklahoma City Thunder. Missing their best big man in Serge Ibaka for the rest of the playoffs, the Thunder were exposed down low during their 122-105 Game 1 loss on Monday night, getting outscored in the paint 66-32. While Tim Duncan and Tiago Splitter combined to score 45 points on 14-23 shooting from the field, their counterparts in Kendrick Perkins and Nick Collison tallied just five points on 2-6 shooting. This my folks is why the San Antonio Spurs will advance to the NBA finals and likely take out the NBA Championship in my opinion.
With Ibaka out, the Thunder only really have to guys you can rely on to score the ball in Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, who just happen to be the two best players in this series. In most cases, if you had the two best players in a playoff series, you would usually advance to the next round. The only problem here is that the other team (San Antonio) has the next best seven players on the floor with a hall of fame coach calling the shots. Sure your going to get a big game from Reggie Jackson or Caron Butler here and there, but if KD and Russ aren’t putting up 30+ points apeice, I don’t see how they beat this well oiled machine we call the Spurs.
Speaking of San Antonio, since their Game 6 loss to the Dallas Mavericks in Round 1, they have gone on to win six of seven by an average of 19.6 points per contest. This team is just unstoppable on the offensive end of the floor, topping 109 points or greater in seven of their last nine contests overall.
I really don’t know what to expect in Game 2, and that’s the honest truth. Do the Thunder bounce back and make a game of things or do the Spurs continue their red hot form and cruise to another comfortable win, scoring 120 points in the process? While I was going to take the points, I just can’t do it. The whole Ibaka thing is huge for the Thunder because it pretty much forces them to play 2 on 5 when you really think about it. Plus, I just trust the Spurs at home.
San Antonio Spurs -6 Oklahoma City Thunder