Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
The Miami Marlins and the New York Mets face off on Monday at Marlins Park for game one of their NL East series. The Marlins are -130 favorites over the Mets with an over/under run total set at 7.5.
The Miami Marlins are in last place in the NL east but with all of the teams in the division over .500 they are well within striking distance of the leaders. The Marlins are 14-5 at home this season, 6-4 in their last 10 games, and they are coming off of a win against the Dodgers on Sunday. As a team the Marlins are hitting .271 with Casey McGehee hitting .305, Jarrod Saltalmacchia hitting .303, and Giancarlo Stanton hitting .285. The Miami pitching staff has an ERA of 3.53 with the starters at 3.39 and the bullpen at 3.82. For game one against the Mets Miami starts Nathan Eovaldi who had a win in his last start. For the season Eovaldi has allowed 34 hits and 11earned runs while striking out 35 over 38.1 innings for a 2-1 record and a 2.58 ERA.
The New York Mets are two games over .500 for the season and despite some rough days in their games in Colorado they left on Sunday with a win in the series final game. The Mets are 8-6 on the road this season, 6-4 in their last 10 games, and they are a game behind the Braves in the standings. As a team the Mets are hitting .228 with Daniel Murphy hitting .314, David Wright hitting .272, and Lucas Duda hitting .271. as a team the Mets pitching staff has an ERA of 4.15 with the starters at 4.19 and the bullpen at 4.08. For game one at Miami the Mets start Jon Niese who has won his last two starts. For the season Niese has allowed 26 hits and eight earned runs while striking out 24 over 32.2 innings for a 2-2 record and a 2.20 ERA.
Miami is 4-0 as a favorite, 6-1 in their last seven games, and 5-1 in Eovaldi’s last six home starts. New York is 4-1 against the NL East, 5-1 in their last six road games against a right-handed starter, and 5-2 in Niese’s last seven starts. New York has won four of their last five games against Miami.
I expect the pitchers to win this battle and for the score to come in under the total.