Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
The Kansas City Royals and the Detroit Tigers face off on Friday in Kansas City in game one of their AL Central series between the top two teams in the standings. The Royals are -150 favorites over the Tigers with an over/under run total set at 7.5.
The Kansas City Royals are hoping this is the year they break through and make it back to the post season but they know the Central Division title goes through Detroit. The Royals are 8-4 at home this season, 5-5 in their last two games, and two games behind the Tigers in the standings. As a team the Royals are hitting .261 with Eric Hosmer hitting .299, Omar Infante hitting .289, and Alcides Escobar hitting .286. As a team the Kansas City pitching staff has an ERA of 3.20 with the starters at 3.10 and the bullpen at 3.46. For game one against the Tigers the Royals start James Shields who has won his last three starts. For the season Shields has allowed 29 hits and nine earned runs while striking out 41 over 40 innings for a 3-2 record and a 2.02 ERA.
The Detroit Tigers are the back-to-back defending AL Central Champions but they have also had more issues with the weather than any team in baseball. The Tigers are 5-4 on the road, 7-3 in their last 10 games, and they have won their last two games. As a team the Tigers are hitting .272 with Rajai Davis hitting .333, Austin Jackson hitting .307, and Torii Hunter hitting .300. The Detroit pitching staff has an ERA of 3.79 with the starters at 2.98 and the bullpen at 5.37. For game one against the Royals the Tigers start Rick Porcello who has won his last two starts. For the season Porcello has allowed 24 hits and 11 earned runs while striking out 16 over 25 innings for a 3-1 record and a 3.96 ERA.
Kansas City is 5-2 in their last seven games as a home favorite, 4-2 in their last six games and 21-8 in Shields’ last 29 starts. Detroit is 4-1 in their last five games, 4-10 in their last 14 games as an underdog, and 1-4 in Porcello’s last five starts as a road underdog. Detroit is 4-1 in the last five meetings of these two.
I am not expecting a ton of scoring but for these two teams 7.5 is a low number and I like the over.