Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat
Lebron James and the Miami Heat square off against the Brooklyn Nets in Game 2 from South Beach on Thursday night. The Heat are -8 point favorites over the Nets with an over/under point total set at 192.
Head to head, the Nets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings while the home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Heat are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 Conference Semifinals games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, but just 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Nets on the other hand are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss, 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Behind an even spread of scorers, the Miami Heat easily dispatched the visiting Brooklyn Nets in Game 1 on Tuesday night, running away with a comfortable 107-86 victory. LeBron James led the way with 22 points while Ray Allen added 19 off the bench for a Miami team ran away with things in second half, outscoring the visitors by 18-points over the last two quarters. For the Nets, only three players finished the contest in double-digits, with Deron Williams and Joe Johnson both scoring 17 points apiece while old timers Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett adding a combined eight points on just 3-10 shooting.
Strangely enough, Miami’s win on Tuesday night snapped a four-game losing streak to Brooklyn as they swept the regular season series. The Nets also covered the spread in those four meetings and three of those were decided by just one point, with the other contest going into overtime. Playoff basketball is indeed different to that of the regular season, but Brooklyn can surely draw some confidence from those meetings and not get to hung up about their 21-point loss in Game 1.
Despite what happened in Game 1, eight points in simply too much to be giving this veteran Nets squad and it wouldn’t shock me at all to see them win this one straight up. I’m not saying that’s going to happen, but I expect a much better performance out of Brooklyn tonight. Given the fact that the Heat struggled to put away Charlotte in Game 2 in the last round and that every single one of the four regular season meetings with the Nets was a thriller, taking the points seems like the way to go in this one.
Brooklyn Nets +8 Miami Heat