Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals
The Atlanta Braves and the St. Louis Cardinals face off Monday in Atlanta in a meeting of perennial playoff teams who are struggling of late. The Braves are -120 favorites over the Cardinals with an over/under run total set at 7.5.
The Atlanta Braves are in first place in the National League East but they hardly have the look of a first place team these days. The Braves are 9-6 at home, 4-6 in their last 10 games, and they have lost six games in a row. As a team the Braves are hitting .236 with Justin Upton hitting .299, Freddie Freeman hitting .293, and Andrelton Simmons hitting .270. As a team the Braves pitching staff has an ERA of 2.72 with the starters at 2.50 and the bullpen at 3.26. For game one against the Caridnals the Braves start Aaron Harang who is coming off of his worst outing of the year. For the season Harang has allowed 25 hits and 12 earned runs while striking out 37 over 36.1 innings for a 3-2 record and a 2.97 ERA.
The St. Louis Cardinals are regulars in the post season but this year they can’t seem to score runs and are struggling to win games. The Cardinals are 9-11 on the road, 4-6 in their last 10 games, and they are five games behind the Brewers in the NL Central standings. As a team the Cardinals are hitting .244 with Yadier Molina hitting .343, Matt Adams hitting .333, and Matt Holliday hitting .274. The Cardinals pitching staff has an ERA of 3.00 with the starters at 2.71 and the bullpen at 3.62. For game one against the Braves the Cardinals start Shelby Miller who has won his last two starts. For the season Miller has allowed 29 hits and 12 earned runs while striking out 26 over 34.1 innings for a 3-2 record and a 3.15 ERA.
Atlanta is 5-0 against the NL Central, 5-2 in game one of a series, and 0-5 against a right-handed starter. St. Louis is 1-4 against the NL East, 1-4 in their last five road games against a right-handed starter, and 8-3 in Miller’s last 11 starts. St. Louis is 1-5 in their last six games in Atlanta.
The total is set at 7.5 and with both of these teams not hitting I like the under.