Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzles
The series shifts back to Oklahoma City as the Thunder take on the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 5 on Tuesday night. The Thunder are -6 point favorites over the Grizzlies with an over/under point total set at 187.
Head to head, the Grizzlies are 8-3-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings and 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City while the home team is 4-1-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Thunder are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 home games, but just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Grizzlies on the other hand are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games and 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, but just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
When was the last time you could remember three straight overtime games in a playoff series? Because that’s exactly what the Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies have done in one of the most entertaining first round battles we have seen in a long time. While I like that things are knotted at two games apiece, the Grizzlies really should have a 3-1 series advantage after squandering that five-point lead with a little under a minute remaining in Game 4 on Saturday night.
While I think this game has the potential to go like Game 1 did when the Thunder coasted to a 100-86 victory, you just can’t ignore the past. In their last 10 meetings, which are all pretty recent, only two of them weren’t decided by six points or less. So that means whenever these two meet, it usually a close finish, making it harder to lay the points with OKC.
After going back and forth for a while on this one, I still see the Thunder winning this by near on double digits. Yes we have seen three straight overtime duels, but that can’t continue for forever and I think Durant and Westbrook will both bounce back with 30-point games.
Oklahoma City Thunder -6 Memphis Grizzlies