New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals
The New York Mets and the St. Louis Cardinals face off on Monday at Citi Field for game one of their series. The Cardinals are -120 favorites over the Mets with an over/under run total set at 7.5.
The New York Mets fought hard on Sunday and while it took them extra innings to do it they knocked off the Braves. The Mets are 3-6 at home, 6-4 in their last 10 games, and they are three games back in the NL East. As a team the Mets are hitting .227 with David Wright hitting .316, Juan Lagares hitting .314, and Daniel Murphy is hitting .292. The Mets pitching staff has a team ERA of 4.40 with the starters at 3.98 and the bullpen at 5.23. For game one against the Cardinals the Mets start Jerry Mejia who has yet to lose this season. For the season Mejia has allowed 12 hits and five earned runs while striking out 18 over 16 innings for a 2-0 record and a 2.81 ERA.
The St. Louis Cardinals dropped their series finale against Washington on Sunday blowing a lead and splitting the series overall. The Cardinals are 7-6 on the road, 6-4 in their last 10 games, and three games behind the Brewers in the NL Central standings. As a team the Cardinals are hitting .247 with Matt Adams hitting .357, Yadier Molina hitting .338, and Matt Carpenter hitting .254. The Cardinals pitching staff has a team ERA of 3.16 with the starters at 2.40 and the bullpen at 4.98. For game one at New York St. Louis brings up Tyler Lyons from the Minors to replace the injured Joe Kelly. Lyons has been pitching at Triple-A Memphis and working 53 innings with the Cards last season primarily as a long reliever sporting a 4.75 ERA.
New York is 4-10 I their last 14 home games, 21-43 against a left-handed starter, and 4-0 in Mejia’s last four home starts. St. Louis is 6-3 in their last nine games, 23-10 against the NL East, and 1-5 in Lyons’ last six starts. St, Louis is 8-3 in their last 11 games against the NY Mets.
The total is set at 7.5 but I like the over here with my pick.