Dayton Flyers vs. Ohio St. Buckeyes
The Ohio State Buckeyes and the Dayton Flyers face off on Thursday in Buffalo in a first round NCAA Tournament game in the South Regional. The Buckeyes are -5.5 point favorites over the Flyers with an over/under point total set at 128.5.
The Ohio State Buckeyes are the number six seed in the south after finishing in fifth place in the Big Ten this season. Ohio State went 13-0 out of conference this year and 3-1 in neutral site games. LaQuinton Ross is averaging 15.4 points and 6.1 rebounds per game to lead the Buckeyes. Lenzelle Smith Jr. is averaging 11.1 points and 5.1 rebounds, Aaron Craft is averaging 9.6 points, and Amir Williams is averaging 8.0 points and 5.8 rebounds. Ohio State is averaging 69.8 points and they are shooting 44.9 percent while defensively they are allowing 59.8 points and their opponents are shooting 40.5 percent. Ohio State has come up short in the NCAA Tournament under Thad Matta and they are hoping this is a year they fly under the radar.
The Dayton Flyers got off t a slow start to the season but they won 10 of their last 12 games and finished tied for fifth place in the A-10. Dayton is 12-3 in non-conference games, 3-2 in neutral site games, and 1-2 against teams ranked in the top 25. Jordan Sibert leads the Flyers averaging 12.5 points per game. Devin Oliver is averaging 12.1 points and 7.5 rebounds, Dyshawn Pierre is averaging 11.1 points and 5.6 rebounds, and Vee Sanford is averaging 9.9 points. Dayton is averaging 73.4 points and they are shooting 46.6 percent while defensively they are allowing 67.6 points and their opponents are shooting 43.9 percent. Dayton has been looking for a chance to play Ohio State for a very long time and now they finally get that opportunity.
Ohio State is 1-4 against the spread in their last five NCAA Tournament games, 0-6 against the spread in their last six games, and 3-9 against the spread following a loss. Dayton is 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 non-conference games, 4-1 against the spread in their last five neutral site games, and 5-2 against the spread against a team with a winning record.
The total is set at 128.5 and I like the over for my pick.