Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics
The Dallas Mavericks go for a third straight win tonight when they play host to the Boston Celtics. The Mavericks are -11.5 point favorites over the Celtics with an over/under point total set at 203.
The Celtics have lost 11 of their last 14 and will be hoping to snap a four-game skid tonight after losing to the Pelicans by 121-120 in an overtime thriller last night. Jeff Green led the team with 39 points, Kris Humphries added 16 and Jared Sullinger had 14, but the Celtics really blew a shot to win the game when they failed to foul on the inbounds play as the Pelicans ran out the last 5.7 seconds of the game. With the loss, Boston drops to 22-45 on the season and 8-24 on the road where they’ve lost their last six.
Meanwhile, the Mavericks have won four of their last five and are coming off a big 109-86 win at Oklahoma City. Shawn Marion led five players in double figures with 19 points on eight of 12 shooting while Vince Carter provided 18 points in just 21 minutes off the bench. Dirk Nowitzki had a relatively quiet night of just 17 points but the game was won the defensive end where the Mavs held the Thunder to just 36 percent shooting for the game and just 38 points in the second half. With the win, Dallas improves to 40-27 overall which leaves them half a game ahead of Memphis who currently hold the eighth seed in the West.
In ATS trends, the Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against a team with a winning home record and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games playing on no rest, while the Mavs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
Head to head, the Celtics are 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings overall and 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in Dallas.
I’m a bit reluctant to take the Celtics in the form they’ve been in lately, but teams always seem to have a bit of a letdown game after a big win, especially in their first game after a road trip so that’s where I’m leaning in this one.
Boston Celtics +11.5 Dallas Mavericks