Phoenix Suns vs. Miami Heat
Lebron James and the Miami Heat travels to Phoenix to face the surprising Suns on Tuesday night. The Heat are -4 point favorites over the Suns with an over/under point total set at 208.5.
Head to head, the Heat are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix while the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Heat on the other hand are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. loss, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.
Coming off a surprising loss to the Utah Jazz in their last outing, Lebron James and the reigning champion Miami Heat will be looking to bounce back against this surprising Phoenix Suns team, but it won’t be easy. Phoenix, who has been a feel good story so far this season, currently sits in sixth position in a stacked Western Conference, ahead of teams like Dallas, Memphis, Denver and Golden State, who they defeated in their last game on Saturday night 122-109. More importantly, for us bettors, the Suns have been one of the premier teams in that respect, covering the spread in 33 of their 50 game so far this season, a super impressive number for a team that was expected to finish at the bottom of the West before the season started.
The Heat always tend to struggle in Utah and that was again the case on Saturday night as they mustered up just 89 points as they struggled to from distance the entire game, making just seven of their 23 three-point attempts. Lebron James, the leagues second-leading scorer, was held to just 13 points on 4-13 shooting while is counter part on the other side, Marvin Williams, scored a game-high 23 points on 9-15 shooting. It was strange to see Miami struggle to score against one of the worst defensive teams in the league, especially considering they poured in 116 big ones in their previous outing against the Los Angeles Clippers.
Given that nearly every Suns home game this season has been a shootout, the over looks like a really solid play here. It’s no surprise that the over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games at US Airways Center. While the Heat struggled shooting the ball in their last outing, that was a one off more than anything else as they had averaged a shade under 106 points in their previous nine outings. I see another shootout coming tonight.