New Orleans Pelicans vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Anthony Davis and the New Orleans Pelicans play host to the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday from the Big Easy. The Clippers are -5 point favorites over the Pelicans with an over/under point total set at 202.
Head to head, the Clippers are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 meetings and 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in New Orleans while the home team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings and the favorite is 18-8 in the last 26 meetings. The Pelicans are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loo, but just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Pacific and 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Clippers on the other hand are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 game playing on 0 days rest, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Given how the Los Angeles Clippers have been scoring these past couple of weeks, the over has to be the play here right? It might seem like the obvious choice, but the numbers don’t lie. The Clippers have scored 110 points or greater in 12 of their last 16 games and they are coming off 125 point outing against the Oklahoma City yesterday. They have also scored 122 points or more in three of their last five contests, which is massive. While a lot of their big scoring games have come at home, the over is 13-3 in their last 16 road games. With LaMarcus Aldridge going down in Portland, it’s fair to say that LA has taken back their mantle as the premier offensive team in the NBA.
Meanwhile, the New Orleans Pelicans are just an average offensive team, but that’s only because of injuries to Jrue Holiday, Ryan Anderson and Jason Smith. If those three players were fit and ready to go, the Pelicans could have a devastating offensive unit, built around spacing the floor and pick and rolls involving Anthony Davis. Still, those players are out of the lineup and have been for some time and It’s been a long while since they scored over 110 points in an NBA game. Most of their games this past month and a bit have ended between 90-100 points and there’s really not much more to say on that front.
Give me the over here. I believe this game easily goes over the 202.