Indiana Pacers vs. Atlanta Hawks
The Atlanta Hawks welcome Paul George and Indiana Pacers to town on Tuesday night. The Pacers are -3 point favorites over the Hawks with an over/under point total set at 188.
Head to head, the Pacers are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta while the home team is 23-8 ATS in the last 31 meetings and the favorite is 24-8 ATS in the last 32 meetings. The Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 an 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Pacers on the other hand are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games, 0-4 ATS in their last four games playing on 0 days rest and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
There’s no doubt that the public will be all over the Indiana Pacers in this one, but if you stepped back and really looked at things closely, you could make a serious case for the Atlanta Hawks here. For one, the Hawks have already defeated the Pacers this season 97-87 in Atlanta, which is their lone meeting so far. Granted, Lance Stephenson was injured for that game, but on the flipside, Paul Millsap was held to just four total points on 1-10 shooting. If you had told me that Millsap would score just four points and that they would beat the Pacers by double-digits, I would of said you were crazy.
Atlanta is also 16-6 at home this season and they have beaten some of the premier teams in the NBA there. Just look at their last five games at Philips Arena, which go like this: Indiana = Win, Houston = Win, Miami = Win, San Antonio = Loss and Minnesota = Win. Look at those last four wins at home, super impressive. Indiana on the other hand is just 2-6 against the spread in their last eight road games and they are 0-4 against the spread in the second game of a back-to-back, which is what they are up against tonight after they easily accounted for the visiting Orlando Magic last night.
I’ve never been scared to take the team that nobody wants too, which will probably be the case tonight. Having said that, I just don’t see the Hawks beating the Pacers twice in a row, granted, the Phoenix Suns just accomplished this feat in the space of just two weeks. My advice would be to stay away because this one could go either way, I mean just look at who Atlanta has beaten at home recently. If you must, wait until game time to see where the line goes. Everyone will be pounding the Pacers, so if the line goes in their favor then you have every right to take them.
Indiana Pacers-3 Atlanta Hawks