Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
The Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos face off on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium in a rematch of their game played two weeks back. The Broncos are -4.5 point favorites over the Chiefs with an over/under point total set at 49.5.
The Kansas City Chiefs were the last unbeaten team this season in the NFL but they have lost their last two games. The Chiefs are tied with the Broncos atop the AFC West but Denver holds the tiebreaker by virtue of their win in Denver. Alex Smith has completed 59 percent of his passes with 14 touchdowns and five interceptions and he has been sacked 32 times. Jamaal Charles has rushed for 918 yards and eight touchdowns and e has caught 53 passes. Dwayne Bowe has 42 receptions and four touchdowns and Dexter McCluster has 7 catches. Derrick Johnson has 83 tackles and 3.5 sacks to lead the Chiefs, Eric Berry has 54 tackles, and Brandon Flowers has 4 tackles. Tamba hali is questionable for this one and Justin Houston and his 11 sacks are doubtful. Arrowhead Stadium is one of the tougher paces to play in the NFL and it should be loud for this one.
The Denver Broncos control their own destiny in the AFC West and in the AFC overall but they are coming off of a tough loss and a short week after losing in New England on Monday Night. The injuries are starting to pile up for the Broncos as well with several starters questionable this week. Peyton Manning has completed 68.5 percent of his passes for 3,722 yards with 36 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Knowshon Moreno is questionable with a bruised ankle and if he can’t go Montee Ball will be relied on tough he has had trouble holding onto the ball. Wes Welker has 65 receptions and nine touchdowns, Demaryius Thomas has 64 catches and 10 touchdowns, and Julius Thomas has 45 catches and 10 touchdowns. Danny Trevathan has 94 tackles and three interceptions, Duke Ihenacho has 63 tackles, and Shaun Phillips has 9.0 sacks. The Broncos are averaging a NFL best 39 points and 451.5 yards per game while defensively they are allowing 26.3 points and 378 yards per game. Denver will need to put last week’s blow lead and loss out of their mind in a hurry.
Kansas City is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven home games, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games, and 0-4 against the spread following a loss. Denver is 4-0 against the spread following a loss, 4-0-1 against the spread against the AFC West, and 3-7 against the spread against a team with a winning record. Denver is 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings of these two.
In the last meeting of these two 44 points were scored and it has been since 2010 where they went over the 49.5 the total is set in this one at so my pick is on the under.