Dallas Mavericks vs. Philadelphia 76ers
The Dallas Mavericks look to stay unbeaten at home as they play host to the slumping Philadelphia 76ers. The Mavericks are -12 point favorites over the 76ers with an over/under point total set at 214.
Head to head, the 76ers are 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas while the underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and road team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record and 39-18 ATS in their last 57 games overall. The 76ers on the other hand are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest, but just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 vs. NBA Southwest.
Boy are the Philadelphia 76ers a mess defensively. Not only are the 76ers giving up a league-worst 111.1 points per contest, but they allowed the New Orleans Pelicans to shoot 60 percent from the field in their 136-104 blowout Saturday night, becoming the first team to do so since late in 2010. Now I could maybe understand if say the Los Angeles Clippers shot 60 percent, but the Pelicans, really? Philly was on the second of a back-to-back against New Orleans, but that’s still no excuse. While giving up 111 on the season sounds bad, that’s nothing compared to what they have been giving up lately as they teams have averaged 120 points against the 76ers in their last five games, granted, two of those games went into overtime, but still.
Now they have to face a Dallas team that is 4-0 at home and averaging 114.2 points per game in those four. Other than the Los Angeles Clippers, no other team in the NBA scores more at home than the Mavs do and even though it’s a small sample size, it doesn’t bode well for Philadelphia. It also has to be noted that the over is 4-0 in Philly’s four road games so far and 3-1 in the Mavs four games at home.
I’m not going to lie, 214 is a big number that is generally reserved for the teams such as Houston, Golden State and Los Angles (Clippers,) but the numbers suggest this is going to be a game where plenty of points are scored. As far as picking a side goes, you would expect a better performance out of the 76ers after their stinker in the Big Easy, but Dallas has been lights out at home so I just don’t know what to expect there. Bottom line, I feel more comfortable taking the over.