St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The St. Louis Cardinals and the Los Angeles Dodgers face off on Wednesday at Dodger Stadium for game five of their NLCS series with the Cardinals hold a 3-1 lead in the series. The Dodgers are -170 favorites over the Cardinals with an over/under run total set at 7.
The St. Louis Cardinals battled for a full nine innings on Tuesday ad in the end they earned the win putting them a win away from the World Series. Matt Holliday and Shane Robinson hit home runs and Matt Carpenter had a hit and drove in a run as the Cardinals scored four runs on six hits. Starting pitcher Lance Lynn allowed six hits and two runs while striking out five over 5.1 innings to earn his second win of the post season and Trevor Rosenthal earned is second save of the post season. For Wednesday’s game the Cardinals look to close it out with Joe Kelly who is 10-5 with a 2.73 ERA for the season and he is 0-1 with a 3.44 ERA in his last three starts but he was the starter in game one of the NLCS, a game won by the Cardinals 3-2.
The Los Angeles Dodgers had plenty of chances on Tuesday but they were unable to take advantage of them as they fell to the Cardinals and are now on the brink of elimination. Yasiel Puig and Andre Ethier each had two hits and Carl Crawford and Adrian Gonzalez had hits but the Dodgers scored just two runs on eight hits and that wasn’t enough to get a win. Starting pitcher Ricky Nolasco allowed three hits and three runs while striking out four over four innings to take the loss and the Dodgers bullpen allowed just three hits and a run the rest of the way as L.A. used four different pitchers over the final five innings. For Wednesday’s game the Dodgers start Zack Greinke who faced Kelly in game one of the series and who is 15-5 with a 2.63 ERA for the season and 0-2 with a 2.25 ERA in his last three starts.
St. Louis is 5-1 in their last six playoff games, 4-1 in their last five road games against a right handed starter, 2-5 in their last seven playoff road games, and 10-3 in Kelly’s last 13 starts. Los Angeles is 4-1 in their last five playoff home games, 23-11 in their last 34 home games, 1-6 in their last seven NLCS games, and 12-2 in Greinke’s last 14 home starts.
I see runs being tough to come by in this one and I am going to go with the under.