Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
The Minnesota Vikings and the Green Bay Packers face off on NFL Sunday Night Football in a NFC North rivalry game. The Packers are -9.5 point favorites over the Vikings with an over/under point total set at 46.5.
The Minnesota Vikings were a playoff team a year ago and barring a miracle run the Vikings will be watching the playoffs from home this year. The Vikings offense is averaging 22 points and 316.3 yards per game and they have a minus two turnover ratio. The Vikings have used three QB’s this season and this week they will stick with Josh Freeman who completed just 37.7 percent of his passes with an interception in his Minnesota debut, a loss to the Giants on Monday Night Football. Adrian Peterson is the best running back in the game and he is averaging 4.4 yards per carry with five touchdowns and he has 16 receptions and six total touchdowns. Jerome Simpson has 26 catches, Greg Jennings has 24 catches and two touchdowns, and Kyle Rudolph has 24 catches and we have seen Cordarelle Patterson emerge in the return game and he may see an increasing role. The Vikings defense allows 30.2 points and 391.2 yards per game and they have seven interceptions, 12 sacks, and six fumble recoveries. Erin Henderson has 54 tackles, Chad Greenway has 53 tackles, and Jared Allen has 4.0 sacks. The Vikings just seem to be lacking direction this season.
The Green Bay Packers seem to always be battling injuries and despite having one of the longest injury lists in the NFL the Pack are in first place in the NFC North. The Packers offense is averaging 28 points and 434.7 yards per game and they have a minus two turnover ratio. Aaron Rodgers has completed 65 percent of his passes with 13 touchdowns and four interceptions and he has been sacked 15 times. Eddie Lacy is the current option in the Green Bay backfield and he is averaging 4.2 yards per carry with two touchdowns. The Packers receiving corps are banged up and Jordy Nelson is the leading active receiver with 32 catches and five touchdowns, James Jones has 20 catches, and Jarrett Boykin will see an increased role. Defensively the Packers are allowing 21.2 points and 345.8 yards per game with three interceptions, 20 sacks, and eight fumble recoveries. A.J. Hawk has 54 tackles and three sacks, M.D. Jennings has 25 tackles as does Sam Shields as many of the Packers big names on defense like Clay Mathews and Nick Perry are out.
Minnesota is 4-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games, and 1-4 against the spread against the NFC. Green Bay is 4-0 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games, and they are 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 NFC games. The home team has covered the point spread in the last five meetings of these two.
When these two meet in Minnesota these games tend to be higher scoring and while the Vikings offense is weak against a banged up Packers defense and the Packers offense is strong against a strong Vikings defense, I look for this one to go over the total