Baltimore Ravens vs. Green Bay Packers
The Baltimore Raves and the Green Bay Packers face off on Sunday in Baltimore in an AFC vs. NFC matchup. The Packers are -3 point favorites over the Ravens with an over/under point total set at 47.5.
The Baltimore Ravens are tied for first place in the AFC North and while the expectations were lowered for them because of a departure of significant talent, they have proved to be a tough out thus far. The Ravens offense is averaging 23.4 points and 330.8 yards per game, though, and at 77.8 rushing yards per game, they are ranked 27th in the NFL in that category. Joe Flacco has completed 57.7 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and eight interceptions while being sacked 14 times. Bernard Pierce and Ray Rice are both averaging 2.9 yards per carry with Rice having three touchdowns and 17 receptions and Pierce having two touchdowns. Torrey Smith has 2 receptions and a touchdown, Dallas Clark has 16 catches, and the Ravens receivers should be helped out in general if Jacoby Jones can make it back to the field this week. The Ravens defense is allowing 22 points and 335.4 yards with three interceptions, 19 sacks, and five fumble recoveries. Daryl Smith has 43 tackles and two interceptions, Terrell Suggs has 36 tackles and seven sacks, and Corey Graham has 27 tackles. The Ravens are bringing the heat on defense and it has taken them a long way.
The Green Bay Packers are 2-2 on the season and a week after the bye they are still nursing some injuries. The Packers offense is averaging 29.5 points and 453.2 yards per game, ranking third in the NFL in each of those categories. Aaron Rodgers has completed 64 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and three interceptions, while being sacked 11 times. Eddie Lacey is averaging 3.9 yards per carry as is Jonathan Franklin and they each have a touchdown. Randall Cobb leads Green Bay with 25 catches and two touchdowns, Jordy Nelson has 23 catches and three touchdowns, and James Jones has 19 catches and two touchdowns. Defensively, the Packers are allowing 24.2 points and 364.8 yards per game with two interceptions, 12 sacks, and six interceptions. A.J. Hawk has 32 tackles, Brad Jones has 29 tackles, and Sam Shields has 23 tackles but Clay Mathews appears to be out for a month. The Packers have thrived on turnovers over the years and they aren’t getting them this season.
Baltimore is 4-0 against the spread in their last four home games, 4-1 against the spread following a win, and 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games. Green Bay is 14-5 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 0-4 against the spread in their last four road games, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record. Green Bay is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings of these two.
The Ravens pass rush should pester Rodgers, while the Packers without Mathews will be hard pressed to create the same kind of pressure so the Ravens at home are the mild choice.
Baltimore Ravens +3 Green Bay Packers