Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots

The Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots open their 2013 NFL seasons as they face off in Orchard Park on Sunday in an AFC East match up. The Patriots are -10 point favorites over the Bills with an over/under point total set at 50.
The Doug Marrone era begins for the Buffalo Bills on Sunday and he’s face with a tall order right out of the gate with the New England Patriots coming to town. With Kevin Kolb ‘s career possibly over and first round pick E.J. Manuel not ready it’s free agent Jeff Tuel at QB, the first undrafted rookie free agent to start at QB in the NFL since 1967. In the backfield the Bills have taken the hard line stance that C.J. Spiller will carry the load and not just be used situationally and it only figures that the more touches one of the most elusive players in the NFL gets, the more chances Spiller will have to break one. Steve Johnson has been the main target at wide receiver but he should have more help this season With T.J. Graham while rookie Robert Woods is wildcard, Marquise Goodwin is an Olympic Gold medal sprinter, and tight end Scott Chandler is dependable. The Bills have spent big money on defense and Mario Williams is going to need to have a big year to justify the expense. Marcell Dareus is a former top pick who will be counted on to plug up the middle while Stephon Gilmore is out with a wrist injury. Like any NFL team, there is talent on the Bills’ roster, but it might take time for Marrone to get them to buy into his system.
The New England Patriots are once again one of the favorites to go to the Super Bowl and the clear-cut favorites to win the AFC. For the Patriots’ offense it all stars with QB Tom Brady who has his mind set on getting back to the Super Bowl and winning another ring; it is just a matter if Brady has the supporting cast to get there. Stevan Ridley is the main running back in a crowded backfield but Bill Bellichick is known to defer to the hot hand and that can change from play to play. Danny Amendola and Julian Edelman are listed as the starting wide receivers but there is a bunch of young talent including Josh Boyce while there are questions at tight end. The Patriots defensive philosophy is simple, they like to take away what the other team does best and see if their opponent can beat them another way. Vince Wilfork plugs up the defensive line next to Tommy Kelly with Chandler Jones rushing the passer. New England has a very capable group of linebackers led by Jerrod Mayo while Devin McCourty is experienced in the secondary. On the surface the AFC East looks soft so it could be the Patriots’ for the taking.
Buffalo is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight season openers and 1-8 against the spread in their last nine games against New England. New England is 14-6 against the spread in their last 20 road games and 19-8-1 in their last 28 games against Buffalo. The road team is 7-2 in the last nine meetings of these two.
I look back at the last four times these two have met the lowest scoring game of the bunch was 65. While personnel and coaches have changed but not entirely from just a season ago so with the total at 50 my pick is on the over.

Pick
Over 50

September 4, 2013 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

Comments are closed.