New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies face off on Monday at Citi Field for game one of their series. The Phillies are -120 favorites over the Mets with an over/under run total set at 7.
The New York Mets had a rough weekend with the Tigers in town and overall it has been a tough season and the Mets have struggled often. The Mets are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 26-36 at home this season, and they are 19 games back in the NL East. As a team, the Mets are hitting .239 with David Wright hitting .309, Josh Satin hitting .298, and Marlon Byrd hitting .283. The Mets pitching staff has an ERA of 3.79 with the starters at 3.73 and the bullpen at 3.89. For game one against the Phillies, the Mets start Zach Wheeler, who has won his last two decisions. For the season Wheeler has allowed 64 hits and 27 earned runs while striking out 62 over 69.2 innings for a 6-2 record and a 3.49 ERA.
The Philadelphia Phillies are playing some of their best baseball of the season and they have been awfully tough to put away. The Phillies are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 24-40 on the road this season, and they are 19 games back in the NL East. As a team the Phillies are hitting .248 with Carlos Ruiz hitting .284, Chase Utley hitting .274, and Darin Ruf hitting .272. As a team the Phillies pitching staff has an ERA of 4.28, with the starters at 4.30 and the bullpen at 4.24. For game one against the Mets, the Phillies start Cliff Lee, who has lost his last four decisions. For the season Lee has allowed 153 hits and 60 earned runs while striking out 157 over 170.2 innings for a 10-6 record and a 3.16 ERA.
New York is 6-2 in their last eight games against a team with a losing record, 7-3 in their last 10 game one of a series, and 8-1 in Wheeler’s last nine starts. Philadelphia is 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win, 7-20 in their last 27 road games, and 1-5 in Lee’s last six starts. Philadelphia is 7-2 in their last nine games in New York.
I don’t expect much scoring here and my pick is going to be on the under.