Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds face off on Monday at Wrigley Field as they play game one of their series. The Reds are -130 favorites over the Cubs with an over/under run total set at 8.
The Chicago Cubs are having a rebuilding year so while they have flopped much of the time they have also had some string moments. The Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 games, 23-33 at home this season, and they are 18 games back in the NL Central standings. As a team the Cubs are hitting .241 with Junior Lake hitting .317, Dioner Navarro hitting .287, and Wellington Castillo hitting .278. The Cubs pitching staff has an ERA of 3.97 with the starters at 3.88 and the bullpen at 4.17. For game one against the Reds the Cubs start their All Star, Travis Wood, who has lost two of his last three decisions. For the season Wood has allowed 114 hits and 49 earned runs while striking out 104 over 145 innings for a 7-8 record and a 3.04 ERA.
The Cincinnati Reds are holding down the second Wildcard spot in the National League but they are very much in the race to win the NL Central. The Reds are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 28-32 on the road this season, and they are five games back in the NL Central. As a team the Reds are hitting .250 with Joey Votto hitting .322, Shin-Soo Choo hitting .276, and Jay Bruce hitting .272. The Reds pitching staff has an ERA of 3.41 with the starters at 3.35 and the bullpen at 3.53. For Monday’s game the Reds start Mat Latos who has won his last three decisions. For the season Latos has allowed 139 hits and 52 earned runs while striking out 145 over 146 innings for an 11-3 record and a 3.21 ERA.
The Cubs are 4-10 in their last 14 games, 0-4 in their last four home games, and 1-5 in Wood’s last six home starts. Cincinnati is 5-1 in their last six games, 2-8 in their last 10 road games against a left-handed starter, and 29-11 in Latos’ last 40 starts as a favorite. Cincinnati is 22-8 in their last 30 games in Chicago.
My play in this game is going to be on the total and with these two arms the play is the under.