Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
The Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates close out their series in Cincinnati as they meet on Thursday at Great American Ballpark. The Reds are -180 favorites over the Pirates with an over/under run total set at 8.
The Reds are battling for position in the NL Central as they continue to chase the Cardinals but at the same time they are battling for wildcard positioning as well. On Wednesday the Reds beat the Pirates as Jay Bruce hit a home run and Shin-Soo Choo, Todd Frazier, and Ryan Hanigan each had two hits as the Reds scored two runs on 10 hits in all. On the mound starter Bronson Arroyo allowed six hits and a run while striking out three over 7.0 innings to not factor in the decision as many Parra got the win to go to 1-1 on the year. For Thursday’s series finale the Reds start Homer Bailey who is coming off of a loss in his last outing. For the season Bailey has allowed 80 hits and 38 Earned runs while striking out 87 over 90 innings for a 4-5 record and a 3.80 ERA.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have dropped two of three to the Reds this series but they are still just 3.5 games behind the Cardinals in the NL Central. On Wednesday Garrett Jones had two hits, Starling Marte had a hit, and Russell Martin had a hit as the Pirates scored one run on nine hits. Starting pitcher Jeff Locke allowed four hits and he struck out three over 7.0 innings but he didn’t get the decision as Vin Mazzaro took the loss to fall to 3-2 on the year. For Thursday’s game the Pirates start Brandon Crumpton who had a no decision in his only start thus far. For the season Crumpton has allowed seven hits and three runs while striking out five over 5.0 innings for a 5.40 ERA.
Cincinnati is 26-12 in their last 38 home games, 3-5 in their last eight games against a team with a winning record, and 5-2 in Bailey’s last seven home starts. Pittsburgh is 12-6 in their last 18 games against the NL Central, 5-0 in their last five game four of a series, and 2-7 in their last nine games as an underdog. Cincinnati is 10-2 in Bailey’s last 12 starts against Pittsburgh.
Bailey and the Reds are a huge favorite here but it is tougher to go against them than it is to lay the huge odds.
Cincinnati Reds -180 Pittsburgh Pirates