New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals
The New York Mets and the St. Louis Cardinals face off on Tuesday at Citi Field for game one of their series. The Mets are -136 favorites over the Cardinals with an over/under run total set at 8.
It has been a miserable season for the New York Mets as they haven’t come up with many answers as they try and put wins together but don’t seem to be able to get it done. The Mets are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 12-19 at home this season, and they are 13.5 games back in the NL East. As a team the Mets are hitting .226 with Daniel Murphy hitting .288, David Wright hitting .279, and Marlon Byrd hitting .247. The Mets opponents are hitting .266 and the New York pitching staff has an ERA of 4.31 with the starters at 4.06 and the bullpen at 4.73. For game one against the Cards the Mets start Jeremy Hefner who had a no decision in his last start despite allowing just one run. For the season Hefner has allowed 58 hits and 31 earned runs while striking out 49 over 64 innings for a 1-5 record and a 4.36 ERA.
After losing in the post season last year the St. Louis Cardinals look determined to get back this year as they have been sharp thus far. The Cardinals are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 22-10 on the road this season, and they have a four game lead in the NL Central. As a team the Cardinals are hitting .276 with Yadier Molina hitting .354, Matt Carpenter hitting .332, Allen Craig hitting .310, and Carlos Beltran hitting .305. The Cardinals opponents are hitting .248 and the St. Louis pitching staff has an ERA of 3.20 with the starters at 2.73 and the bullpen at 4.33. For game one in New York the Cardinals start Michael Wacha who doesn’t have a decision after two starts in the Majors. For the season Wacha has allowed 12 hits and seven earned runs while striking out 10 over 11.2 innings for a 0-0 record and a 5.40 ERA.
New York is 22-45 in their last 67 home games, 1-4 in their last five games against the NL Central, and 0-4 in Hefner’s last five home starts. St. Louis is 14-3 in their last 17 game one of a series, 21-7 in their last 28 road games, and 38-18 in their last 56 games overall. St. Louis is 6-2 in the last eight meetings of these two and 2-6 in their last eight games in New York.
We should see some offense in this one and my pick is on the over.