Adrien Broner vs. Paulie Malignaggi
Two of boxing’s best trash talkers get it on as Adrein Broner challenges Paulie Malignaggi for his WBA welterweight title. Broner will be making the jump up two weight classes from lightweight to welterweight while Malignaggi will be defending his title for the 1st time.
Adrien “The Problem” Broner is hoping the extra weight that he will be fighting with for the first time will not be a problem as he looks to conquer another division. As mentioned in the lead in, Broner is making the leap from lightweight to welterweight where the more lucrative and appealing fights are. That being said, if Broner believes he isn’t quite ready for 147 after the Malignaggi contest, he could easily drop back down to 140 where Golden Boy has a stable of good fights for him to make. This will be the toughest fight for Broner since his tangle with Daniel Ponce de Leon back in 2011, which was a fight many believed he lost. Since then the only notable victory of “The Problem” resume is a 8th round TKO victory of Antonio DeMarco in which he won the WBC Lightweight title. I believe the fight with Malignaggi will be the start of determining what trajectory Broner will be heading towards. Should he dominate Paulie, the talks will only heighten about how great he can become but should he lose or barely win we may need to reconsider his ceiling. It’s going to be an interesting test for Broner as he looks to continue the hype machine that is associated with his name.
Paulie “The Magic Man” Malignaggi will be in the underdog role in this fight and has the opportunity for a career defining win. Malignaggi, who hails from Brooklyn and a commentary on the Showtime broadcast whenever he isn’t fighting, has carved out a very nice boxing career for himself. All 4 of his losses have come against very good fighters in Miguel Cotto, Ricky Hatton, Juan Diaz, and Amir Khan. While I don’t think many are going to argue that Mailgnaggi has the same type of natural ability that Broner has, he has however faced the considerable better competition and is more accustomed to fighting in the welterweight division. Paulie won the welterweight belt when he when went to the Ukraine to take on Vyacheslav Senchenko and scored the knockout upset in the 9th round. Since then, Malignaggi won a split decision victory against Pablo Ceaser Cano in a performance that was far inspiring.
Prediction: This is a big step up in weight and competition for Adrien Broner, who also will be fighting for the first time on Showtime after HBO cut ties with Golden Boy fighters. I do think Broner pick a smart fight for his first dabble in the welterweight division as Malignaggi is not a very hard puncher. I am curious to see how Broner looks with the added weight and if it affects his speed at all, which would be a big boost for Paulie. Broner likes to compare himself to Mayweather but unlike Floyd Broner will come straight ahead and he leaves himself open to be hit. That said, I don’t think Malignaggi has the punching power to truly hurt Broner but he could have some success landing some counters and frustrating the challenger. I think Broner is going to win but there is no value in backing him at -1400 so the play on this fight is the over 9.5 for -175. Malignaggi has been in against some very good competition and guys like Cotto, Hatton, and Khan weren’t able to get rid of him before the 9th round, so I doubt Broner will. Also factor in that this is Broner’s first fight at welterweight so I need to see him fight first to see how his power and speed will translate to the new division. Factor that all in and you get a fight that is going the distance.
Over 9.5 -175