San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden St. Warriors
The San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors collide in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals on Monday from the AT&T Center. The Spurs are -8.5 point favorites over the Warriors with an over/under point total set at 201.
Head to head, the Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 4-14 ATS in the last 18 meetings in San Antonio while the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the favorite is 19-6-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings. The Spurs are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Warriors on the other hand are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
Like Miami, the San Antonio Spurs had little trouble dispatching their first round opponent, sweeping their series against the short-handed Los Angeles Lakers. San Antonio, who finished with the regular season with 58 wins, which was good enough for the second seed behind Oklahoma City, made light work of a Los Angeles team that was missing their entire backcourt for a good portion of the series, winning each game by an average of 19 points per game.
While the Spurs series was a snoozer, you couldn’t say the same for Golden State who surprised the basketball world by upsetting the third-seeded Denver Nuggets in just six games to advance to the second round. Led by Stephen Curry, who finished the series with averages of 24.3 points and 9.3 assists per game, the Warriors were just too much to handle for a Denver Nuggets team that many people though had a chance to reach the Western Conference finals.
Although San Antonio has dominated Golden State for as long as I can remember, the Warriors actually held their own this season, splitting the four games as each team won of their home court. In their two meetings in San Antonio, the Spurs ran away seven and 11 point winners, yet, the Warriors were missing Stephen Curry and Andrew Bogut in their first showdown.
While the regular season and playoffs are two different things altogether, I do like the fact that the Warriors played the Spurs tough for all but one quarter in their four meetings this season (second quarter of their 104-93 loss in San Antonio where they were outscored 38-25). I do hate going against the Spurs at home on such a long rest, but I think Curry and company have what it takes to keep this one within the number. Judging the first game of a playoff series is always the most difficult, but I feel pretty comfortable taking the point in this one.
Golden St. Warriors +8.5 San Antonio Spurs