Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds meet on Friday in Philadelphia for game one of their series. The Phillies are -121 favorites over the Reds with an over/under run total set at 7.5.
The Philadelphia Phillies have struggled in the early part of the season but despite their poor play they are very much in the thick of things in the NL East race. The Phillies are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 9-11 at home this season, and 3.5 games behind the Braves in the NL East standings. As a team the Phillies are hitting .246 with Michael Young hitting.296, Chase Utley is hitting .281, and Jimmy Rollins is hitting .255. The Phillies opponents are hitting .245 and the Philadelphia pitching staff has an ERA of 4.20. For game one against the Reds the Phillies start Cliff Lee who has won his last two starts. For the season Lee has allowed 52 hits and 18 earned runs while striking out 43 over 56.2 innings for a 4-2 record and a 2.86 ERA.
The Cincinnati Reds have won six games in a row as they continue to chase the Cardinals in the NL Central standings. The Reds are 8-2 in their last 10 games, 9-10 on the road this season, and they are 1.5 games back in the National League Central standings. As a team the Reds are hitting .251 with Joey Votto hitting .325, Shin-Soo Choo hiting .322, and Brandon Phillips hitting .285. The Reds opponents are hitting .243 and the Cincinnati pitching staff has an ERA of 3.45. For game one at Philadelphia the Reds start Tony Cingrani who has no decisions in his last two starts. For the season Cingrani has allowed 20 hits and nine earned runs while striking out 37 over 28 innings for a 2-0 record and a 2.89 ERA.
Philadelphia is 13-5 in their last 18 home games against a left-handed starter, 2-6 in their last eight games as a home favorite, and 0-4 in Lee’s last four starts as a favorite. Cincinnati is 6-0 n their last six road games, 4-1 in the last five game one of a series, and 4-1 in Cingrani’s last five starts. Cincinnati is 7-19 in their last 26 games in Philadelphia.
I look for runs to be tough to come by and for this game to go under the total.