New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians
The Cleveland Indians and the New York Yankees meet for the first of two games on Monday as they play a double header in Cleveland. The Indians are -140 favorites over the Yankees with an over/under run total set at 8.5 runs.
The Cleveland Indians have quietly taken the lead in the AL Central as they have been one of the hotter teams in all of baseball. The Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 games, 10-7 at home this season, and they are tied with the Tigers for first place in the division. As a team the Indians are hitting .270 with Carlos Santana hitting .336, Michael Brantley hitting .306, and Mark Reynolds hitting .291. The Indians opponents are hitting .232 and the Cleveland pitching staff has an ERA of 4.04. For game one against the Yankees the Indians start Justin Masterson who has been the ace of the pitching staff. For the season Masterson has allowed 46 hits and 22 earned runs while striking out 51 over 54 innings for a 5-2 record and a 3.67 ERA.
The New York Yankees are missing several of their superstars who are on the DL but even without them they are playing their best baseball of the season. The Yankees have won five games in a row, are 7-3 in their last 10 games, are 11-6 on the road, and they have a game lead in the American League East. As a team the Yankees are hitting .255 with Robinson Cano hitting .311, Vernon Wells hitting .295, and Travis Hafner hitting .269. The Yankees opponents are hitting .259 with the New York pitching staff having an ERA of 3.70. For game one of the double header New York starts David Phelps who moved from the bullpen to the starting rotation. For the season Phelps has allowed 28 hits and 16 earned runs while striking out 31 over 28.2 innings for a 1-1 record and a 5.02 ERA.
Cleveland is 4-0 in their last four home games, 13-2 in their last 15 games, and 6-1 in Masterson’s last seven starts against the AL East. New York is 6-0 in their last six road games, 4-0 in their last four road games against a right-handed starter, and 5-0 in Phelps’ last five starts. New York has won 21 of the last 28 meetings of these two.
While both of these teams are swinging the bat I see the pitchers getting the best of this one and I have just a slight lean to the under.