Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
The Baltimore Orioles and the Kansas City Royals face off on Tuesday at Camden Yards for game one of their series. The Orioles are -128 favorites over the Royals with an over/under run total set at 8.
The Baltimore Orioles have picked up where they left off last season and they return home from a successful West Coast road trip. The Orioles are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 7-5 at home this season, and they are 1.5 games behind the Red Sox in the standings. As a team the Orioles are hitting .259 with Adam Jones hitting .331, Chris Davis hitting .327, Nate McLouth hitting .313, and Manny Machado hitting .309. The Orioles opponents are hitting .240 with the Baltimore pitching staff having an ERA of 3.88. For game one against the Royals the Orioles start Wei-Yen Chen who took a loss in his last outing. For the season Chen has allowed 31 hits and 14 earned runs while striking out 22 over 36 innings for a 2-3 record and a 3.50 ERA.
The Kansas City Royals have had a ton of potential for years but this season in the early going they appear to have put it together. The Royals are 7-3 in their last 10 games, 7-6 on the road this season, and they are a game behind the Tigers in the AL Central standings. As a team the Royals are hitting .272 with Lorenzo Cain hitting .337, Alex Gordon hitting .306, and Salvador Perez hitting .290. The Royals opponents are hitting .248 and the Kansas City pitching staff has a ERA of 3.40. For game one against the Orioles the Royals start Ervin Santana who has gotten off to the best start of his career. For the season Santana has allowed 32 hits and eight earned runs while striking out 31 over 36 innings of work for a 3-1 record and a 2.00 ERA.
Baltimore is 4-1 in their last five home games as a favorite, 10-3 in their last 13 home games against a right-handed starter, and 4-1 in Chen’s last five home starts against a team with a winning record. Kansas City is 5-1 in their last six games following a loss, 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog, and 4-0 in Santana’s last four starts.
We have two teams who can swing the bat but two pitchers who are playing at the top of their game and it is a lean to the under for me in this one.