Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cincinnati Reds meet on Friday for game one of their series at PNC Park. The Reds are -115 favorites over the Pirates with an over/under run total set at 7.5.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten off to a rough start to their season but they were able to win two of their last three games where they face the Diamondbacks in Arizona. The Pirate are 3-6 overall this season, 1-2 at home, and they are two games back in the NL Central race. As a team the Pirates are hitting .153 with Starling Marte hitting .333, Garrett Jones hitting .250, and Andrew McCutchen hitting .333 but the rest of the batting order struggling mightily. The Pirates opponents are hitting .214 as the Pittsburgh pitching staff has an ERA of 3.74. For game one against the Reds the Pirates start A.J. Burnett who is making his third start of the year after losing both of his first two. For the year Burnett has a 3.27 ERA allowing 10 hits and four runs while striking out 19 over 11 innings of work.
The Cincinnati Reds are tied for first place in the NL Central but they are coming off of a series in St. Louis where they dropped the final two games to the Cardinals. The Reds are 5-4 thus far but just 1-2 on the road having outscored their opponents by 12 runs overall. As a team the Reds are hitting .253 with Shin-Soo Choo hitting .371, Todd Frazier hitting .333, Brandon Phillips hitting .308, and Joey Votto hitting .290. The Reds opponents are hitting .236 as the Cincinnati pitching staff has an ERA of 3.81 led by reliever Aroldis Chapman who has pitched five innings, has a 0.00 ERA, nine strikeouts, a win, two saves, and two total hits allowed over five innings of work. In Friday’s game the Reds start Mike Leake who got hit fairly hard but got a no decision in a game the Reds lost to the Nationals in his only start this year. In his last outing Leake allowed six hits and four runs while striking out four over six innings of work.
Pittsburgh is 16-36 in their last 52 games overall, 4-11 in their last 15 home games, and 1-10 in Burnett’s last 10 starts. Cincinnati is 4-1 in their last five games as a road underdog, 5-2 in their last seven game one of a series, and 4-1 in Leake’s last five starts against the NL Central. Cincinnati is 1-5 in Leake’s last five road starts in Pittsburgh.
The total in this one is set at 7.5 and both of these teams are going to be free swinging so look for it to go over the total.