Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat
Lebron James and the Miami Heat seek their 21st straight victory tonight as they head to Milwaukee to face the Bucks. The Heat are -6.5 point favorites over the Bucks with an over/under point total set at 203.
Head to head, the Heat are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings while the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Bucks are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 18-37 ATS in their last 55 home games and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall. The Heat on the other hand are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
For whatever reason, the Milwaukee Bucks are one of the rare teams in the NBA that have given the Miami Heat trouble over the last couple of seasons. Not only did they defeat Miami 104-85 in their last meeting in Milwaukee earlier this season, but the Bucks have also won four of the last six meetings straight up, which is surprising given Milwaukee has been a non-playoff team in what seems like forever now. In their first showdown of the season in Miami, the Heat needed overtime to dispatch the visitors as they came away with a 113-106 win. Milwaukee has also covered in both meetings this season and six of the last seven overall.
As far as individual form goes, the Bucks are coming off disappointing losses to Dallas and Washington and when it comes to coving the spread, Milwaukee has been one of the worst teams in the league over the last couple of months. The Heat on the other hand don’t really need any introduction as they have won 20 on the trot, but they are coming off a hard fought 98-94 win in Philadelphia on Wednesday.
It’s always tough going against the Miami Heat, especially when they are riding such a massive winning streak, but I just can’t ignore the fact that they have struggled against Milwaukee for the last two seasons. I’m going to take my chances with the home team in this one.
Milwaukee Bucks +6.5 Miami Heat