Louisville Cardinals vs. Villanova Wildcats

The Louisville Cardinals and the Villanova Wildcats face off on Thursday as the Big East Tournament continues in Madison Square Garden. The Cardinals are -3.5 point favorites over the Wildcats with an over/under point total set at 123.5.
The Louisville Cardinals are looking to defend their Big East Tournament title from last season but it isn’t going to be an easy road to get there. Louisville is 14-4 in Big East play, 3-1 in neutral site games, and have won their last seven games and 10 of their last 11. As a team Louisville is averaging 73.5 points, 14.9 assists, and they are shooting 4.6 percent while defensively they are allowing 59.4 points, 10.3 assists, and their opponents are shooting 38.8 percent. Russ Smith is averaging 17.9 points, Chane Behanan is averaging 10.4 points and 7.0 rebounds, Gorgui Dieng is averaging 10.3 points and 10.1 rebounds, and Peyton Siva is averaging 9.9 points and 5.9 assists. Louisville looks to be peaking just at the right time.
The Villanova Wildcats look to be in the NCAA Tournament but a win in this game would cement their position in March Madness. Villanova took care of business on Wednesday knocking off a St. John’s team which is known for playing tough in madison Square garden. Mouphtaou Yarou had 18 points and seven rebounds in the win and Ryan Arcidiacono ad 15 points including going seven of eight from the free throw line. JayVaughn Pinston added 12 points and nine rebounds and Tony Chennault had eight points. Villanova played the 24th ranked schedule in the nation tis year and went 4-4 against teams ranked in the top 25 including beating Louisville soundly in their only meeting this season.
Louisville is 11-2 against the spread in their last 13 neutral site games, 30-11 against the spread following a win, and 4-0 against the spread in their last four games. Villanova is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games, 4-0 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 4-11 against the spread in their last 15 neutral site games.
The total is set at 123.5 and I have this one staying under that number.

Pick
Under 123.5

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