Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators
The Florida Gators and the Kentucky Wildcats face off on Saturday in Lexington as they close out their regular season college basketball schedules. The Gators are -5 point favorites over the Wildcats with an over/under point total set 132.
The Kentucky Wildcats have lost their last two games and they are on the bubble to make the NCAA Tournament with a chance to defend their National Title from a year ago. UK is 11-6 in the SEC, 15-2 at home this season, and with an RPI of 53 and a strength of schedule of 76 they might need some late season heroics in this game and the SEC conference tournament. As a team Kentucky is averaging 74.3 points, 13.9 assists, and they are shooting 48.1 percent while defensively they are allowing 64.9 points, 11.1 assists, and their opponents are shooting 38.8 percent. Archie Goodwin is averaging 14 points, Alex Poythress is averaging 11.7 points and 6.0 rebounds, Kyle WiIltjer is averaging 10.8 points, and Ryan Harrow is averaging 10.2 points. Even before the Cats lost Nerlens Noel for the year they were falling well short of expectations.
The Florida Gators are the regular season SEC champions and have won three of their last four games. Florida is 14-3 in the SEC, 7-4 on the road this season, and have played the 39th ranked schedule in the nation. As a team Florida is averaging 72.5 points, 15.4 assists, and they are shooting 48.8 percent while defensively they are allowing 54 points, 9.9 assists, and their opponents are shooting 37.3 percent. Mike Rosario and Kenny Boynton are averaging 12.6 points each, Erik Murphy is averaging 12.3 points and 5.0 rebounds, and Patric Young is averaging 10.5 points and 6.3 rebounds. Florida is looking at a two or three seed in the NCAA Tournament depending on how it all shakes out over the next week or so.
Kentucky is 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games overall, 5-15 against the spread in their last 20 SEC games, and 0-5 against the spread following a loss. Florida is 11-4 against the spread following a win, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games overall, and 8-2 against the spread following a game which they covered the spread. Florida is 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five games at Kentucky.
The total in this one is set at 132 and I have it going over that number,