Indiana Pacers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
The Indiana Pacers look to make light work of the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday night. The Pacers are -13.5 point favorites over the Timberwolves with an over/under point total set at 186.
Head to head, the Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana while the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The Timberwolves on the other hand are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central, but just 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
13.5 points might seem like a lot, but the stats don’t lie. The Timberwolves are coming off their best win of the season last night as they took down the San Antonio Spurs at home 107-83, thanks to a triple-double from Ricky Rubio, but this team has been getting blown out in just about every road game they have played in recently. Minnesota can hang with the bottom feeders of the NBA, but they are 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. On the flipside, the Pacers have been one of the most dominate home teams in the league this season and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Now the Pacers are actually coming off a home loss to Boston as they have now dropped two of three at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, but it wasn’t too long ago this team had just won three straight at home against Charlotte, New York and Detroit by an average of 32 points per game.
I tend to shy away from taking large favorites because of the obvious reasons like the back door cover, but Indiana is definitely the play here.
Indiana Pacers -13.5 Minnesota Timberwolves