Denver Nuggets vs. Atlanta Hawks
The Denver Nuggets look for their fifth straight win as they host the Atlanta Hawks on Monday night. The Nuggets are -10.5 point favorites over the Hawks with an over/under point total set at 211.5.
Head to head, the Hawks are 16-7 ATS in the last 23 meetings, while the home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Hawks on the other hand are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games playing on 0 days rest and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
The Denver Nuggets continue to pile up the wins at home as they are coming off a thrilling 105-103 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday night to improve to 25-3 at the Pepsi Center this season. With Ty Lawson’s buzzer beating jumper to down the Thunder, the Nuggets have now won four straight following a slump in which they had lost four of five (all losses on the road)
The Atlanta Hawks come into tonight’s game riding a two-game losing streak, but there play since the All-Star break has been impressive. Even with last night’s tough fought 99-98 defeat against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Hawks have won six of nine and five of seven away from home.
I can see why we have a double digit spread for tonight’s game. Denver is just about the toughest place to play in all of basketball and not only will Atlanta be in a back-to-back situation, but this will be there seventh game in the last 11 days. You would be hard pressed to see the Hawks winning this one given the above circumstances, but I really like the way this team is playing at the moment and I think they can keep this one within single digits, even with the fatigue factor
Atlanta Hawks +10.5 Denver Nuggets