Detroit Pistons vs. New Orleans Hornets
The Detroit Pistons seek their third straight victory with a visit from the New Orleans Hornets tonight. The Pistons are -4 point favorites over the Hornets with an over/under point total set at 196.5.
Head to head, the Hornets are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Detroit, while the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, but just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference. The Hornets on the other hand are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
I’m searching for reasons not to take the Detroit Pistons here, but I just can’t find any. Four points seems pretty low for a New Orleans team that will be playing their third road game in four nights and one that is coming off a 102-89 defeat in Toronto just last night. While the Hornets had won their previous two games before Sunday’s loss to the Raptors, they have now lost five of six away from home. On the other hand, the Pistons are coming off impressive back-to-back wins over San Antonio and at Milwaukee on Saturday, despite being underdogs in both games.
Another key element to consider is that Eric Gordon sat out the last time New Orleans played in a back-to-back, which resulted in a 115-86 loss in Minnesota of all places. Granted, that was the final game of their five game road trip and fourth game in five nights.
My initial lean here was towards the Hornets, but I just can’t justify taking them considering they are playing on the road, this will be their third game in four nights and on the off chance Gordon is rested again. Plus, the Pistons are pretty dangerous at home and are coming off two pretty good wins. Despite the off line, I’m taking the Pistons.
Detroit Pistons -4 New Orleans Hornets