Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
The Denver Nuggets collide with Kobe Bryant and the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday from the Pepsi Center. The Nuggets are -5.5 point favorites over the Lakers with an over/under point total set at 217.
Head to head, the Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Denver while the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Lakers on the other hand are 15-36-1 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Although a lot of their wins are coming against sub .500 teams, the Los Angeles Lakers are starting their push towards are playoff spot after winning again last night in Dallas for their 11th victory in their last 15 games. With their 103-99 win over the Mavericks on Sunday, fuelled by Kobe Bryant’s 38 points, the Lakers have moved one game below .500 and currently sit 2 ½ games behind the Houston Rockets for the eighth and final playoff spot out West
The Denver Nuggets have lost four of six, but they still find themselves with one of the better records in the NBA at 35-22. The Nuggets have also been one of the better against the spread teams out there, going 17-9 at home and 33-24 overall. Denver has also had some recent success over the Lakers, winning two straight and four of six, while also covering in four of six.
Even with Danilo Gallinari carrying and injury, you can’t look past the Nuggets here. Los Angeles is in a nice little groove at the moment, but a lot of their wins have come against non-playoff teams. Denver, along with the likes of Oklahoma City, Miami and Utah, are the toughest places to play in the league and the Nuggets have won three of their last four against the Lakers at the Pepsi Center by an average of 14.6 points per game. Denver always gets up to play the Lakers at home and I don’t see why things change tonight.
Denver Nuggets -5.5 Los Angeles Lakers