Memphis Grizzlies vs. Indiana Pacers
The Memphis Grizzlies and Indiana Pacers collide in early showdown on Monday from the FedExForum. The Grizzlies are -7 point favorites over the Pacers with an over/under point total set at 173.
Head to head, the Pacers are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Memphis. The Grizzlies are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. Eastern Conference, 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 47-21-3 ATS in their last 71 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Pacers on the other hand are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest, but just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
At 173, this has to be the lowest total set for the season. This line might look really low, but when you look at the numbers, it’s just about spot on. The Grizzlies were actually one of the best offensive teams in the league through the first month of play, averaging over 100 points per game, however, they have been just about the worst in recent times. Memphis has struggled that much they haven’t scored over 85 points in any of their last five games, think about that for a second. As a result, their season average has dipped to 93.2, which is the fourth worst mark in the league. Meanwhile, the Pacers started the season as a bad offensive team and they haven’t really improved that much, averaging just 91.5 points, which is only better than the lowly Washington Wizards.
The good news, Indiana and Memphis ranks first and second in points allowed, respectively. The Pacers also rank as the best rebounding team in the league, pulling down 46.3 rebounds per game.
Basically what I’m trying to get at is that we can expect a low scoring game here, so points will be at a premium, making Indiana the obvious play here. The Pacers haven’t fared when all on the road recently, but it’s not like the Grizzlies are in sparkling form anyway. The two last meetings have been decided by six points or fewer and I expect that to continue here.
Indiana Pacers +7 Memphis Grizzlies