Denver Nuggets vs. Indiana Pacers
The Denver Nuggets look for their fourth straight win as they play host to the Indiana Pacers on Monday night. The Nuggets are -5.5 point favorites over the Pacers with an over/under point total set at 194.5.
Head to head, the Pacers are 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Denver, while the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Nuggets are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Central, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Pacers on the other hand are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss, but just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Thanks to a large chunk of their games being played at home recently, the Denver Nuggets record is finally starting to take shape. Following their 121-93 thrashing of the Sacramento Kings on Saturday, the Nuggets recorded their 10th victory in their last 12 games and have also won four straight at home, where they are 17-3 on the season. While Denver ranks as one of the best offensive teams in the league, they are pouring in a shade over 110 points per game over their last 11, which is easily the best mark in the league.
Like Denver, the Pacers are virtually unbeatable at home, however, the same can’t be said for when they hit the road. Indiana is just 10-15 away from home this season and is 1-2 on their current four game trip that concludes tonight. While the Pacers opened up with an impressive 82-81 win in Memphis to start their trip, they weren’t competitive in their 20 point defeat in Portland and are coming off a 114-110 loss in Utah on Saturday night.
The Pacers are a really good team, when they are playing on their home floor that is. While their win in Memphis was impressive, they didn’t look great recent losses at Brooklyn, Orlando and Portland. I don’t think it’s a forgone conclusion that Denver runs away with this game because even they have been challenged at home recently, falling to Washington and needing extra time to defeat Portland and Oklahoma City. I could see the Pacers getting the late cover here, but I just can’t ignore their respective form at home and on the road.
Denver Nuggets -5.5 Indiana Pacers