San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals
The San Francisco 49ers and the Arizona Cardinals meet on Sunday in San Francisco in their final regular season games of the 2012 NFL season. The 49ers are -16.5 point favorites over the Cardinals.
The San Francisco 49ers were looking like the top team in the NFC and maybe the NFL most of the season but with a game left play the 49ers need a win in this one and some help just to get a first round bye. The 49ers need the Vikings to beat the Packers as well as getting the win against the Cards to get a week off if not they will be hosting a game in the Wildcard round. Collin Kaeperick has completed 63.2 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and three interceptions while rushing for 410 yards and five touchdowns. Frank Gore is averaging 4.8 yards per carry with seven touchdowns and LaMichael James has started to contribute in a backup role. Michael Crabtree has 77 catches with seven touchdowns, Mario Manningham has 42 catches, and Vernon Davis has 40 catches. Defensively San Francisco has allowed 17.3 points per game, 96.8 rushing yards, and 199.7 passing yards with 13 interceptions and 36 sacks. NaVorro Bowman has 144 tackles, Patrick Willis has 116 tackles, and Aldon Smith has 19.5 sacks. Smith is ust a few sacks away from break Michael Strahan’s single season record.
The Arizona Cardinals year has been nothing short of a disaster as they started the season winning their first four games and then won just one game the rest of the way. There will be major changes for the Cardinals this offseason but getting a QB and a running game need to be a priority. The Cardinals have been all over the map at QB with the latest to see time being Bobby Hoyer who by comparison wasn’t bad going 11 of 19 with an interception. No one has been able to get it going in the Cardinals backfield with William Powell averaging 3.6 yards per carry and Beanie Wells averaging 2.7 but with the Cardinals playing from behind almost all season there has been little opportunity to even establish a running game. Defensively Arizona allows 22 points per game, 137.5 rushing yards, and 195.7 passing yards with 22 interceptions and 37 sacks. Daryl Washington has 123 tackles, Paris Lennon has 98 tackles, and Calais Campbell has 61 tackles. The Cardinals offense needs an overhaul but the defensive numbers are impressive especially considering how much time they spend on the field.
San Francisco is 14-4-1 against the spread in their last 19 home games, 5-2-1 against the spread in their last eight home games against a team with a losing road record, and 23-10-1 against the spread in their last 34 games overall. Arizona is 3-1-1 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover the spread, 2-6-1 against the spread against the NFC, and 3-8-1 against the spread in their last 12 games. The favorite has covered in four of the last five meetings of these two.
The Cardinals offense has been a demonstration in ineptitude all season and it gets ugly here against the second ranked defense in the league. I don’t expect Arizona to score more than 10 points if they score at all so I have the 49ers covering this ridiculous number.
San Francisco 49ers -16.5 Arizona Cardinals