New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Dallas Cowboys and the New Orleans Saints face off on Sunday in Dallas in a NFL game with plenty of post season implications. The Cowboys are -3 point favorites over the Saints with an over/under point total set at 51.
The Dallas Cowboys have played their way into a three way tie for the lead in the NFC East but the way the tiebreakers all sort themselves out right now the Cowboys would be on the outside looking in at the playoffs if the season ended today. The Formula for the Cowboys is simple: win out and they win the NFC East, lose even once and more than likely they are out of the playoffs altogether. Tony Romo has completed 66.7 percent of his passes with 22 touchdowns and 16 interceptions while being sacked 32 times but most importantly he has been coming through in spots where the Cowboys haven’t been so successful in recent years. DeMarco Murray is averaging 4.1 yards per carry with four touchdowns and he has caught 29 passes and he is still improving as a back in the NFL. Jason Witten has 97 catches, Dez Bryant has 79 catches and 10 touchdowns, and Miles Austin has 62 catches. Defensively the Cowboys are allowing 24.1 points per game, 115.2 rushing yards, and 225.1 passing yards with seven interceptions and 33 sacks. Anthony Spencer has 80 tackles and 10 sacks, Bruce Carter has 70 tackles, and DeMarcus Ware has 11.5 sacks. The Cowboys can win the NFC East with a win here and then a win against the Redskins in week 17.
The New Orleans Saints haven’t been eliminated from playoff contention but they are going to need a lot of help to be part of the post season. It started off as a tumultuous year and it looks like it will end quietly for the Saints but this is a team that more than likely will be back to contending next season when Sean Payton is back on the sidelines. Drew Brees has completed 62 percent of his passes with 36 touchdowns and 18 interceptions while being sacked 24 times. The Saints are loaded in the backfield With Mark Ingram averaging 4.1 yards per carry, Pierre Thomas averaging 4.7 yards per carry and Darren Sproles averaging 5.4 yards per carry and catching 60 passes with six touchdowns. Jimmy Graham has 69 catches and eight touchdowns, Marques Colston has 68 catches and eight touchdowns, and Lance Moore has 57 catches. Defensively New Orleans is allowing 27.1 points, 146.3 rushing yards, and 287 passing yards with 14 interceptions and 27 sacks. Curtis Lofton has 113 tackles, Roman Harper has 108 tackles, and Malcolm Jenkins has 94 tackles. While it has been a disappointing season for the Saints they are a relatively young team and the future looks very strong.
Dallas is 7-18-1 against the spread against the NFC, 4-13 against the spread following a win, and 3-10 against the spread against a team with a losing record. New Orleans is 12-4 against the spread following a game which they covered the spread, 16-7 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 13-6 against the spread in their last 19 games against the NFC. The underdog has covered the spread in the last seven meetings of these two.
Despite coming up with the big interception last week the Cowboys secondary leaves a lot to be desired and against Brees that means a very long day and I will go with the Saints here.
New Orleans Saints +3 Dallas Cowboys